$ETH Evening Thoughts:
The second contract has already broken below the lower boundary of the wedge pattern, but there has been no significant volume. A breakdown without volume has a high possibility of being a false breakdown.
If you want to go short, wait for the second contract to rebound to the lower boundary of the wedge pattern, showing a 2b false breakout before falling back. You can lightly short one hand on the left side, and set your stop loss at the closing price back within the wedge pattern.
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Continuing to observe the chart: Yesterday, the second contract retested the Fibonacci 61.8 level, received support, and rebounded upward, but not very high.
If it tests the 61.8 level again, and repeatedly pokes down without an entity closing below 61.8, you can add one more position (observe price action yourself). The low point of the pokes will be your stop loss. If it breaks directly, you don't need to add more, just ensure you have a stop loss in place.
For the second contract on the hourly level, if it breaks 2523 upwards, look towards 2556-2585; if it can't get above 2523, it won't be able to rise.
On the 4-hour level, if it breaks below 2488, look towards 2462-2423, and pay attention to changes in volume. Meeting adjourned.