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Halving Aftermath Still Playing Out The April 2024 halving cut block rewards from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC. Miners are adjusting: smaller players shutting down or merging, while big players (like Marathon Digital) increase efficiency. Reduced sell pressure is expected to support long-term bullish bias. Lightning Network & Layer 2 Growth Transaction fees on Bitcoin L1 remain high due to BRC-20 activity. Lightning Network usage is growing rapidly, especially in Latin America and Africa. New L2 solutions for Bitcoin (e.g., Stacks, Runes protocol) are gaining traction. U.S. Crypto Policy Shift U.S. presidential race is heating up, and Bitcoin is becoming a policy topic. Several candidates are openly pro-crypto and advocate for clearer regulations. Rumors of potential executive support for Bitcoin mining infrastructure are circulating. $BTC
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๐ Generic Daily Crypto Trading Analysis Template: If youโre looking to do your own analysis of a small or new token like Sahara Coin, hereโs a checklist: ๐น 1. Price Action Check todayโs open, high, low, close (OHLC) Compare it to the 7-day and 30-day averages ๐น 2. Volume Trends Has volume spiked or dropped significantly today? Any correlation with price movement? ๐น 3. Indicators to Watch RSI: Overbought (>70) or oversold (<30)? MACD: Bullish or bearish crossover? Moving Averages: Crossovers (Golden/Death Cross) ๐น 4. Support & Resistance Identify key support/resistance levels from recent price action Watch for breakouts or rejections ๐น 5. News & Sentiment Any announcements or social media buzz today? Whale wallet activity or on-chain movements?
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๐ HODL Trading Strategy โ Best of Both Worlds ๐ง What Is It? The HODL Trading Strategy is a crypto investment approach that combines: HODLing (holding a core portfolio long-term regardless of market cycles) Tactical trading around that position to boost returns or manage risk Rather than going all-in on day trading or passive investing, this strategy lets you preserve long-term gains while capitalizing on short-term opportunities. --- ๐ก Core Components 1. Long-Term Core (HODL) Allocate 50โ90% of your portfolio to strong conviction assets (e.g., BTC, ETH) These positions are not touched except in extreme cases (macro shifts, fundamentals change) 2. Active Trading Slice Use 10โ50% for tactical trades: Take profit on rallies Buy dips Trade altcoins, tokens, or even futures Rebalance periodically based on market trends or sentiment --- ๐ฏ Key Goals Participate in long-term upside Avoid panic selling during dips Capture profits during overextended rallies Improve overall risk-adjusted returns --- โ๏ธ Benefits Emotional control: Your core is untouchable, reducing overtrading Optionality: Allows flexibility without giving up your main thesis Compound growth: Long-term holding of strong assets benefits from compounding #HODLTradingStrategy
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#SpotVSFuturesStrategy ๐ What is a Spot vs Futures Strategy? This strategy involves taking opposing positions in the spot and futures markets to either: 1. Hedge risk 2. Arbitrage price differences 3. Speculate on market movement --- ๐ก Common Use Cases 1. Cash and Carry Arbitrage Goal: Profit from a difference in spot and futures prices. How it works: Buy the asset in the spot market Sell a futures contract at a higher price Hold until expiry, deliver the asset, and earn the difference Used when futures trade at a premium 2. Reverse Cash and Carry Goal: Profit from negative futures premium. How it works: Short the asset in the spot market Buy a futures contract Deliver the asset at a lower spot price and collect the futures at expiry Used when futures trade at a discount 3. Hedging Traders/investors hedge spot exposure by taking an opposite futures position. Example: If you hold BTC in spot, you can short BTC futures to protect against downside risk. --- โ ๏ธ Risks & Considerations Requires access to margin and low trading fees Funding rates (for perpetual futures) can impact profitability Market volatility may introduce unexpected risk Timing and liquidity matter
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