📉 Bullish Drivers

Institutional inflows & “digital gold” narrative

With over $11 billion flooding into Bitcoin ETFs over the past quarter, many investors now view BTC as a strategic asset akin to gold, rather than mere speculation. Analysts forecast upside to $200K–250K if this trend continues .

Technical setup suggesting momentum

Several analysts highlight a breakout pattern: if BTC clears the $110K–112K zone, it could rally to between $120K–150K by later in 2025 .

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🐻 Bearish Risks

Resistance pressure near key levels

Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to decisively break $110K, facing pullbacks each time . On short‑term charts, RSI divergence and a flat MACD hint at fading bullish momentum .

Dormant coins waking up

Two wallets from 2011 moved over 20,000 BTC—together worth more than $2 billion. This signals large players could be preparing to sell, likely via OTC channels, which might inject volatility

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🔍 Summary Outlook

Timeframe View Key Levels

Short-term Neutral–Bullish Support: ~$107K–108K Resistance: ~$110K–112K

Mid/Long-term Bullish potential Upside targets: $120K → $150K+ if ETF flows & macro trends hold

Bull case: Continued ETF inflows, supportive technicals, macrotailwind from fiscal stimulus and digital-gold narrative.

Bear case: Lack of breakout, profit-taking by large holders, short-term momentum wane.

🛠️ What to Watch Today

1. Break or breakdown near $110K–112K: A clean breakout could signal a rally; failure may result in a pullback toward $105K–107K.

2. ETF flows & macro news: Any fresh U.S. stablecoin or digital asset regulation, or updates on ETF demand, may shape sentiment.

3. On‑chain metrics: Dormant wallet movements and open interest levels could add volatility.

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🧾 Final Take

Bitcoin is in a critical phase — bullish overall, but requires watching the $110K–112K zone closely. A breakout could lead to a fresh leg higher; a rejection might bring in profit-taking.

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