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📊 Current Technical Context
Approximate price: 0.2837 USDT
Recent range: 0.2819 – 0.2848 USDT
General trend: Consolidation within a slightly bullish channel between 0.269–0.278 USDT; there are signs of accumulation and moderate buying pressure.
Fundamentals: TRON maintains high on-chain activity (dominating USDT), strong liquidity, and positive projection for July-August if there are no macro surprises.
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🟢 Bullish Scenario
✅ Condition
Clear breakout and daily close above 0.285–0.288 USDT with increasing volume.
Momentum confirmation: RSI between 60–70 without extreme overbought.
🎯 Strategy
Suggested Entry Zone:
Breakout entry: 0.287–0.289 USDT.
Confirmation pullback: 0.278–0.280 USDT (if it retests support).
Profit Targets (Take-Profit):
TP1: 0.30 USDT (psychological level and nearby resistance).
TP2: 0.33 USDT (Fibonacci extension zone).
TP3: 0.36 USDT (medium-term target).
Recommended Technical Stop-Loss:
Below 0.273 USDT (floor of the channel).
Trailing stop if it exceeds 0.30 USDT.
🔑 Key Confirmations
EMA 9/21 in bullish crossover.
MACD maintaining positive histogram.
Increase in daily volume.
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🔴 Bearish Scenario
⚠️ Condition
Clear breakout and daily close below 0.273 USDT with increasing selling volume.
Weakness confirmation: RSI falling below 45, negative momentum.
🎯 Strategy
Suggested Entry Zone (short or buy lower):
Wait for a drop to 0.265–0.260 USDT to accumulate staggered.
Strong intermediate support level: 0.253–0.255 USDT.
Profit Targets (Take-Profit):
TP1: 0.265 USDT.
TP2: 0.253 USDT.
TP3: 0.245 USDT (if key support breaks).
Recommended Technical Stop-Loss:
Above 0.273–0.275 USDT.
Avoid averaging down without clear support.
🔑 Key Confirmations
EMA 9/21 in bearish crossover.
MACD with negative crossover and selling volume.
Persistent RSI below 45.
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⚙️ Risk Management
✅ Do not risk more than 1–3% of your capital per trade.
✅ Use limit orders for staggered purchases on pullbacks.
✅ Secure partial benefits on each objective achieved.
✅ Monitor regulatory and network news (TRON has high exposure to stablecoin movements).
✅ Check global market volatility: BTC or ETH breaking supports can drag TRX.
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✨ Final Insight
📈 Bullish: Strong probability if it breaks and holds 0.285–0.288 USDT. Potential up to 0.33–0.36 USDT.
📉 Bearish: If it loses 0.273 USDT and volume supports it, correction scenario with opportunity for re-entry lower.
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