While the cryptocurrency market is looking for direction in the summer of 2025 due to macro uncertainties and regulatory effects, the #Cardano ($ADA ) price has reached a critical technical zone after a long-standing downtrend. #ADA , which is trading around $ 0.57 as of July 2025, is touching a strong demand zone. Technical indicators are signaling a possible reversal in terms of both price and momentum. At the same time, the long-term supply structure also puts ADA in a different position from other major coins, especially Bitcoin.
🔍 Technical Outlook: Is a Return Imminent?
According to Bitcoinsensus' weekly analysis, ADA has been moving within a clear downward channel since early 2024. However, the demand zone located at the lower limit of this channel, between $ 0.55 and $ 0.60, is an important floor.
Positive Divergence in RSI and MACD: While the price is creating lower lows, momentum indicators are producing higher lows. This is a classic bullish divergence pattern that could signal a reversal.
Critical Resistance Band: The falling trendline between $0.80 and $1.00 is the biggest barrier limiting ADA’s rise. A breakout of this area could potentially pave the way for a strong uptrend that could last as high as $1.20.
Clean Parallel Channel Structure: The price action is technically in order. The upper trendline of the channel suggests $1.20 as the next target.
📈 Price Data (July 2025):
Current Price: $0.57
Weekly Return: 3%
Monthly Return: 4.55%
Yearly Return: 46.15%
🪙 Supply Dynamics: How Does ADA Differ From Bitcoin?
Cardano’s supply model is limited and scheduled, similar to Bitcoin’s, but there are some notable differences:
Maximum Supply: 45 billion ADA (Bitcoin: 21 million BTC)
Peak Supply Date: 2100 (Bitcoin: 2140)
Supply Status by 2040:
91-93% of ADA (approximately 42 billion tokens) will be in circulation.
99% of Bitcoin (approximately 20.85 million BTC) will have been released.
This structure suggests that ADA will reach supply saturation earlier and therefore offer a smoother token economy. Especially after 2040, while Bitcoin’s supply growth will almost stop, ADA supply will already have reached equilibrium.
🧠 Comment: This early supply finalization could make Cardano a more predictable and low-inflation asset for long-term investors. This feature creates a more attractive asset class, especially for institutional investors.
📊 July 2025 Outlook: Neutral Technical – Positive Fundamental
Technical analysis platforms such as CentralCharts evaluate the short-term outlook as neutral. However, in the medium-long term:
Adaptive moving averages are upward.
The bounce from the demand zone indicates that upward momentum is forming.
The $0.80 - $1.00 band should be monitored as the critical threshold for confirmation of the reversal.
🧭 Conclusion and Investor Comment
Cardano may have entered the process of forming a bottom technically. The strong buyer reaction from the demand zone in the $0.55 - $0.60 band and the positive divergence in indicators such as RSI increase the possibility of a trend reversal. However, a clear break of the $1.00 level is required for technical confirmation of this reversal.
On the other hand, predictability in the long-term supply structure and early supply saturation stand out as one of the main advantages that distinguish ADA from other major cryptos. For 2025 and beyond, ADA may be one of the strong candidates with both technical and macro structural revaluation potential.
🔔 Warning: This article is not investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are high-risk assets and every investment decision should be evaluated according to personal analysis and risk appetite.
