Are you always getting cut in crypto trading? Don't worry, today I'm going to teach you how to build a "crash-proof trading system" that will evolve you from a victim to a cold-blooded profit-making machine! Actually, the answer is simple; what you lack is a complete trading system. Don't think this looks like textbook material; it's just like equipping in a video game. Once you gather five core pieces of equipment, you can dominate the crypto world.
1. Trading strategy: Choose the right style, match the market.
Don't blindly go "all in", and don't mindlessly "buy the dip"; those are gambler behaviors! You need to choose a suitable trading strategy based on your character and market phase.
Trend following (suitable for the impatient): Keep an eye on mainstream coins like BTC and ETH, use moving averages and MACD to determine bull and bear markets; when the trend comes, decisively hop on.
Swing trading (suitable for those with ample time): Focus on altcoins, enter and exit quickly, run away after making 10%-20%, and cut losses if the price drops by 5%.
Arbitrage hedging (suitable for tech-savvy): Cross-exchange arbitrage, contract and spot price differential arbitrage, earn money from market loopholes.
Bitter lesson: A brother used trend strategy to go long on BTC in 2024, but encountered a crash due to US interest rate hikes, stubbornly held on, and ultimately got liquidated. Strategies must match market phases!
2. Entry signal: Make scientific decisions; reject superstition.
Do not rely on "feelings" to enter; be like a sniper, only pull the trigger when conditions are met.
Technical indicators: RSI below 30 (oversold) + sudden increase in volume, decisively go long; MACD death cross + large on-chain transfers to exchanges, quickly escape.
News: The Federal Reserve is dovish, a certain country passes a Bitcoin law; once such news comes out, decisions must be made within 5 minutes.
On-chain data: Whale wallet activities, immediately follow up and check large account movements.
Real case: Old Wang from the neighbor group doubled his money in three months last year by going long when "Coinbase premium rate exceeded 2%". Simple signals repeated are better than your blind analysis!
3. Exit signal: Preserve capital first; securing profits is key.
"Doubling up and then leaving" is a fairy tale; "Preserve capital first" is the reality.
Hard stop-loss: If capital loss exceeds 5%, even if the King of Heaven comes, you must cut losses!
Dynamic take-profit: After floating profit reaches 50%, move the stop-loss line up to the cost price to lock in future gains.
Time stop-loss: If there has been no movement after three days, even if there is no loss, withdraw; do not waste capital efficiency.
Counterexample warning: A girl went long on ORDI, made 80% profit but didn't sell, ended up trapped at the peak when the project team dumped. Greed is a disease, it needs to be treated!
4. Position management: Diversified risk management, stability is key.
"All in to get rich" is a TikTok script; "diversified risk management" is the way to survive.
Total position red line: Invest a maximum of 50% of capital in cryptocurrencies, and keep the other 50% in USDT to earn interest.
Single cryptocurrency cap: No matter how promising a coin looks, do not exceed 20% of the total position.
Leverage multiple: Leverage above 10x is suicidal; 3-5x combined with stop-loss is the way to go.
Mathematical truth: If you bet 2% of your capital each time, even if you are wrong 50 times in a row, you won't go bust; but if you bet 50% each time, being wrong just twice leaves you with 25%. Staying alive is crucial for output!
5. Risk management: prevent black swans, and also prevent yourself.
Market risk is not scary; being unable to control your actions is deadly.
Black swan checklist: Think ahead about what to do if "Musk suddenly turns bearish" or "the exchange is hacked."
Emotional switch: If you have three consecutive losses, take a forced day off and uninstall the app for safety.
Environmental isolation: Don't check communities during crashes, turn off price alerts.
True story: During the 312 crash, a group friend avoided losses with the rule of "automatic shutdown when the crash exceeds 30%"; a week later, they profited instead. You don't need to predict storms; just build a safe haven.
Advanced position management: Details determine success or failure.
1. No rush to buy, optimize positions.
Follow buying rules such as 334, 433, enter in batches, and avoid all-in. Set take-profit and stop-loss for each order, timely protect profits, and prevent losses from expanding.
2. Risk diversification, reasonable allocation.
Diversification in sectors and cryptocurrencies is important; the number of cryptocurrencies held should neither be too many nor too few. Long, medium, and short positions should be allocated in a ratio of 5:3:2, with Bitcoin or Ethereum as the foundation for long positions, hot sectors for medium positions, and short-term speculation to catch surges.
3. Position progress, adjust flexibly.
Control the bottom period at 30%, increase to 50% at the bull market's end and beginning, and maintain above 70% once a bull market is confirmed. Remember, do not operate with a full position; otherwise, you won't be able to cope with sudden market changes.
4. Capital profits, manage reasonably.
You must cash out a portion of the money you earn; at least keep half of the profits in your capital account as reserves. Do not roll profits and capital together every day; otherwise, once you get liquidated, you won't even have a chance to break even.
5. Copy trading control, operate cautiously.
Contract position control for Bitcoin: Use 10x leverage, small positions at 2%-2.5%, and normally control at 3-5%. For altcoin spot positions: The total of three positions in one cryptocurrency should not exceed 30%, and hold a maximum of 3-5 cryptocurrencies, not exceeding 70% of the total position (normal level).
Iron rules for trading cryptocurrencies: Follow these, and making money isn't hard.
Control emotions: Stay calm and respond rationally to market changes.
Start with small transactions: Accumulate experience, gradually increase trading scale.
Avoid getting rich quick: Strictly separate emotions from trading, avoid personal intentions conflicting with market trends.
Be prepared to accept failure at any time: Summarize experiences, improve investment capability.
Learn to observe: Take a break, calmly analyze market trends.
Set strict and reasonable stop-losses: Keep losses within acceptable limits.
Be yourself: Do not easily let others' opinions sway your trading direction.
Seize market opportunities: Be decisive in buying and selling when prices break through critical positions.
Reasonable position increase: When holding positions generates floating profits, gradually increase the position size.
Timely response: Exit decisively when market trends go against your position.
Let profits accumulate: When market trends align with your position, do not easily close positions.
Be ready to close for profits: Be prepared to close positions when making huge profits in a short time.
Learn to short: Seize opportunities to short at highs.
Do not be overly concerned with entry prices: Ensure trades are executed, and loosen entry price limits when appropriate.
Position sizes should not be too large: A heavy position should not exceed 1/3 of the total opening.
Do not change plans casually: Once a trading strategy is determined, do not change it arbitrarily.
Do not follow the crowd: Make independent analyses and judgments of market trends.
Do not trade at the same price level repeatedly: Build positions in multiple transactions to observe market developments.
Do not place orders in the same direction after a stop-loss: Avoid expanding losses and increasing fees.
Do not expect the best price: Be ready to enter the market as soon as it seems about to turn.
Remember, making money relies on systems, getting rich relies on luck. Follow these iron rules, and you can make a name for yourself in the crypto space!
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