📊 Current Market Overview

Price Retreat from $110K: BTC recently climbed above $110K but got rejected for the third time in a row, indicating resistance around that level .

Support Levels to Watch: Upside faces selling pressure near $110–112K; downside support lies between $105K–$108K .

🔍 Technical Indicators & On‑Chain Dynamics

Short-Term Bearish Signals: RSI and MACD show bearish divergence on intraday charts, hinting at potential pullback .

Consolidation Zone: BTC is trading within a symmetrical triangle (~$108K–$110.6K), indicating market indecision .

Holder vs Trader Standoff: On-chain data shows long-term holders are HODLing (~14.7M BTC), while leveraged traders are building positions—suggesting a coiled spring scenario .

Whale Wallet Activity: Movement of 20,000 BTC (~$2B) from dormant wallets triggered fears of potential sell-off .

🏦 Macro & Institutional Context

Stable ETF Inflows: Institutional demand remains strong—spot Bitcoin ETFs have attracted over $48B—offering buffer against big drops .

Economic Pulse on Hold: Despite strong U.S. employment data pushing yields higher, BTC has held stable, awaiting key macro events like Powell’s testimony and inflation data .

📌 Short-Term Outlook

Downside Risk: If $110K–112K cap persists, BTC could dip toward $105K–$108K—historical rejection levels suggest a possible 3–5% pullback .

Bull Case: Clearing $110.6K decisively could trigger a rally toward next resistance at $112K–$114K, fueled by institutional backing .

Key Catalysts: Watch for macroeconomic data, Powell’s testimony, and any fresh whale movements that could tip the balance.

🔑 Key Price Levels to Watch

Level Significance

$110K–$112K Strong resistance (triple top)

$108K Intraday triangle bottom

$105K Broader support zone

✅ Summary

Bitcoin is locked in a critical decision zone around $110K. While technicals hint at a possible short-term pullback, strong institutional inflows and on‑chain resilience suggest the path to further upside remains open—if key resistance is broken. Upcoming macro news and whale activity will be decisive.

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