July 5, 2025, noon data snapshot
#### 1. Price Trend: Bitcoin is a bit 'wobbly' today
- Current price: ≈ $108,000 (down 2% from yesterday)
- 24-hour performance: Dropped from over 110,000, resembling your failed weekend wake-up
- Today's lowest point: **$105,398.53** (support at 105,631, breaking could trigger 'panic laying flat')
- Today's highest point: **$109,803.41** (Resistance at 110,866, longs: I jump! I can't reach!)
#### 2. Market Sentiment: Shorts are smirking, longs are pretending to sleep
- Long/Short Ratio: **0.94** (slightly favoring shorts, market sentiment: 🤨)
- Liquidation data: 90,000 people liquidated in the past 24 hours, totaling $219 million (largest single liquidation: **$2.72 million**, BTC players eating instant noodles with tears)
- MACD Indicator: Histogram remains negative, bears: 'We can still fly a bit more'
- KDJ Indicator: **Oversold (Value=8)**, technical analysts: 'Is it unable to drop further? Time to bottom fish?' Market: 'Let's wait a bit…'
#### 3. Macro Impact: Trump's 'Big and Beautiful' bill has the market 'split'
- Trump just signed the 'Big and Beautiful' tax cut bill, increasing concerns about U.S. debt (the deficit could increase by $3.3 trillion in the next 10 years)
- U.S. Dollar Index: Slight drop of 0.22% (closed at 96.965), but the market still worries about tightening liquidity
- Federal Reserve rate cut expectations: September probability drops from 98% to 80%, traders: 'Where’s the dovish? Dovish, help me out!'
#### 4. Technical Analysis: Sideways or Crash? The market is waiting for a signal
- Short-term trend: If it breaks below 105,631, it may drop to 106,000-107,500 (Arthur Hayes warns: worst case could see 90,000)
- Optimists: Matrixport believes 116,000 is still possible, traditionally strong in July (7 out of the past 10 years have seen gains)
- Short squeeze risk: If it suddenly breaks 112,000, shorts may be 'squeezed', causing a violent price surge
#### 5. Today's Best Joke
> Bitcoin: 'I want to break through!'
> Trump’s bill: 'No, you don’t want to.'
> Federal Reserve: 'Let me check inflation first…'
> Trader: 'So... should I buy instant noodles or increase my position?'
Summary: The noon market shows slight fatigue, but the market is still waiting for direction. In the short term, expect fluctuations between 105,631-110,866; breaking below could trigger a deeper correction, while a breakout might lead to a new wave of increases. It's advisable to closely watch tonight's U.S. stock market opening (returning after closure) and weekend capital flow, after all—Bitcoin's weekends may be more thrilling than yours.
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Stay tuned:$BTC $ETH
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