#BNB走势 Short-term and Long-term Analysis

Short-term Strategy

  • Current Price Dynamics: BNB is retracing from $664 resistance, currently near $650. The technical analysis shows 638-640 as a strong support zone (Bollinger Band lower limit + accumulation of buying liquidity), while 647-650 is a key resistance turned support level.

  • Indicator Verification:

    1. RSI (47.3): Neutral range, no oversold signal, but near support may trigger a rebound.

    2. Order Book Buy/Sell Ratio (1.38): Significant buying pressure, total buy orders near 2.09 million USDT > sell orders 1.5 million USDT, supporting short-term long logic.

    3. Open Interest Change (-5.27% 24h): Funds flowing out but prices haven't dropped significantly, suggesting a dominant short covering, possibly brewing a rebound.

  • Operation Suggestions:

    • Short-term: Light long near current price of 650, stop loss at 647, target 664 (previous high resistance). Risk-reward ratio approximately 1:2.8.

    • Long-term: If stabilizing above 664, bullish outlook to 680 (MA200 resistance); if falling below 635, trend needs to be reassessed.

#ETH走势分析 Short-term and Long-term Analysis

Short-term Strategy

  • Current Price Dynamics: ETH retraced to the support zone of 2477-2500 after failing to break 2600 (Bollinger Band middle line + concentrated buying liquidity).

  • Indicator Verification:

    1. MACD Daily Golden Cross: Confirmed mid-term bullish signal, but the divergence between hourly EMA7 and price needs to be corrected.

    2. Volume Ratio (0.376): Volume contraction warns of false breakout risk, but buying pressure (buy/sell ratio 1.62) supports rebound.

    3. On-chain Data: 385,000 ETH inflow to exchanges raises concerns about whale sell-off, but the 2500 psychological support is strong.

  • Operation Suggestions:

    • Short-term: Long in the range of 2477-2500, stop loss at 2445, target 2560-2570 (Bollinger Band upper limit). Risk-reward ratio 1:3.5.

    • Long-term: After breaking through 2600 and stabilizing, look upward to 2660-2700; if it falls below 2445, a retest of 2380 may occur.

#BTC走势分析 Short-term and Long-term Analysis

Short-term Strategy

  • Current Price Dynamics: After BTC broke below 108500 support, it lingers around 108200; it needs to quickly recover this level to confirm bullish outlook.

  • Indicator Verification:

    1. Bollinger Band Hourly Chart: Price is under pressure at the middle-upper band; breaking through 109700 may confirm a rebound.

    2. Liquidation Levels: There are many short liquidations above 110348, a breakout may accelerate the rise.

    3. Open Interest: Price and open interest are diverging, main funds flowing out but not triggering a major drop, beware of a trend change.

  • Operation Suggestions:

    • Short-term: If quickly returning above 108500, light long, stop loss at 107000, target 110348-112000.

    • Long-term: After stabilizing above 110348, it may challenge the previous high of 115000; if falling below 106000, it may test 105000.

  • Short-term Opportunities: Both BNB and ETH are at critical support zones; combined with buying pressure, trying a low long position may be considered; BTC needs to observe the recovery situation at 108500.

  • Long-term Risks: Macroeconomic policies (regulation, tariffs) and on-chain data (whale movements) are the main disruptive factors.

  • Key Indicator Priority: Order Book Liquidity > RSI/MACD Divergence > Volume Coordination.

Binance Smart Chain (#BNB金铲子挖矿 ) Upgrade delay news temporarily suppresses sentiment, but long-term ecological value remains unchanged; news on Trump’s crypto earnings may trigger FOMO, but regulatory risks (like the U.S. seizing crypto assets) are not fully digested; Trump’s tariff policy intensifies market risk aversion, enhancing correlation with traditional assets.