U.S JODS DATA EXCEEDS FORECASTS IMPACTING FED DECISIONS!

The US jobs data has exceeded forecasts, with the Labor Department reporting a 147,000 increase in nonfarm payrolls in June, surpassing expectations. This strong job growth has led to a decrease in the unemployment rate to 4.1%, further supporting the Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates steady for now.

Key Takeaways:

-Job Market Resilience: The US job market has shown remarkable resilience, defying expectations of deterioration and closing the door on a July Fed rate cut.

- Rate Cut Expectations: Traders now expect only two Fed rate cuts by year-end, with the first cut likely in September.

Economic Implications: The strong job market data suggests the economy can withstand current interest rates without immediate easing.

- Sectoral Trends:

- Manufacturing Jobs: Fell by 7,000, impacted by trade policies and other factors.

Federal Government Payrolls: Slipped, contributing to the overall job market dynamics.

Healthcare and Leisure/Hospitality: Showed significant job growth, driven by post-pandemic demand recovery and demographic trends.

Fed's Next Steps:

The Federal Reserve is likely to maintain its current stance on interest rates, prioritizing inflation control over immediate economic stimulus. While the job market shows signs of cooling, the Fed will likely wait for clearer evidence of a downturn before considering rate cuts .#NFPWatch #TrumpVsMusk #TRUMP $TRUMP