Cardano (ADA) is recovering at an important support level around $0.59 and is showing signs of recovery as buying pressure increases.
ADA's price is currently hovering around $0.61 with a target to break through resistance at $0.67 to move towards the price range of $0.83–$0.91, however, a close above this threshold is still needed to confirm the trend.
MAIN CONTENT
Strong buying from investors and whale inflows indicate that bullish signals are forming.
ADA's market value currently shows signs of being too high compared to actual trading volume, warning of adjustment risks.
Short-term Holder activity is decreasing, facilitating stability and potential short-term breakout.
Are active investors preparing a foundation for ADA's rise?
Data from Spot Taker CVD over 90 days shows that buying pressure dominates with market orders at the ask price, reflecting increasing confidence among investors. If ADA breaks the $0.67 threshold, the upward momentum could be strongly reinforced.
"Continuous buying pressure from the spot market is an important indicator showing increasing confidence among ADA buyers." – Ali, market analyst, 2025.
Ali, cryptocurrency analyst, July 2025
However, if buying pressure diminishes before breaking through the resistance level, the price of ADA may revert to an accumulation state, making it difficult for the buyers. Current derivative data still supports the short-term upward trend as buying momentum increases.
Whales continue to accumulate with a net outflow of $2.33 million from the exchange.
On July 4, 2025, on-chain data recorded $2.33 million worth of ADA withdrawn from exchanges, indicating that whales are transferring ADA into cold wallets or self-custody wallets, reducing short-term selling pressure.
This trend supports price stability and may lay the groundwork for a breakout if the accumulation process continues. However, net inflow needs to remain stable to reinforce bullish conditions, as a reversal could quickly weaken the recovery momentum.
"The outflow of funds from the exchange indicates that investors intend to hold long-term, which is very positive for the outlook of ADA." – CoinGlass, market report, July 2025.
CoinGlass, market data platform, July 2025.
Is the network value of ADA exceeding its actual usage?
The NVT (Network Value to Transaction ratio) of ADA has soared to 273, signaling that ADA may be overvalued compared to the trading activity volume on the network.
Even though the price has improved, this imbalance suggests that there may be a speculative bubble, as the price rises rapidly but trading volume does not correspond. To maintain the upward momentum, ADA needs to increase liquidity and on-chain trading to balance between market capitalization value and actual utility.
How does short-term Holder activity impact the ADA trend?
The Realized Cap HODL Waves data indicates that short-term investor activity (1–7 days) has decreased to below 1.5% of the total market cap as of early July 2025, reflecting a decrease in speculation and an increase in long-term holding.
This contributes to stabilizing the price, allowing ADA time to accumulate before a new bullish phase emerges. However, the quick return of short-term investors could cause volatility, disrupting the price foundation building phase.
How is the on-chain spending volume of ADA changing?
The Spent Output Age Bands data shows that the volume of ADA converted in the 1–7 day period has sharply decreased to $11 million, significantly lower than the peaks near $100 million last month.
This indicates that current investors tend to hold longer, limiting short-term profit-taking selling. This trend helps reduce selling pressure and supports price increases if maintained steadily. However, if the spending volume suddenly increases again, it could create downward pressure and reverse the positive trend.
Can ADA rise to $0.91 without strong support from the network?
Although ADA is improving its technical structure and showing clear buying strength in the derivatives market, high valuation risk and the lack of a confirmed close above the $0.67 threshold remain significant challenges.
To conquer the price range of $0.83–$0.91, ADA needs to maintain an upward momentum alongside network utility and minimize selling pressure. Investors should prepare for a prolonged accumulation phase or slight volatility if no strong catalysts emerge.
Frequently Asked Questions
1. Is ADA in the early stages of recovery? On-chain indicators and trading data show that ADA is showing signs of recovery thanks to strong buying and whale accumulation. 2. Can ADA's price surpass $0.67 in the short term? If buying pressure continues and closes above $0.67, the likelihood of ADA breaking through this resistance zone is very high. 3. How does a high NVT ratio affect ADA? A high NVT ratio warns that ADA's price may be too high compared to actual trading levels, investors need to be cautious of adjustment risks. 4. Should we be concerned about the decrease in short-term Holder activity? The decrease in activity suggests price stability and patience among long-term investors, supporting the foundation for the next upward trend. 5. What does the outflow of funds from exchanges signify? Outflows from exchanges often reflect a long-term accumulation trend, helping to reduce selling pressure and reinforce price levels.
Source: https://tintucbitcoin.com/whale-cardano-tro-lai-ada-gan-091-usd/
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