📅 Next Release Date
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time (20:30 Pakistan Time) on the first Friday of each month, unless that Friday is a U.S. holiday .
The upcoming report for June 2025 is expected on Friday, July 4, 2025—adjusted to Thursday, July 3, 2025 at the usual time, because financial markets are closed on U.S. Independence Day .
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🔍 What to Expect
Markets are anticipating moderating job growth, with forecasts suggesting a cooler pace in June and a slight rise in unemployment to around **4.3%** .
Last known reading (May 2025): +139,000 jobs, in line with the 12-month average of +152,000, and unemployment steady at **4.2%** .
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⚠️ Market Impact
The NFP is one of the most market-moving economic events globally. Big deviations from expectations often trigger volatility across currencies (especially USD pairs), equities, bonds, gold, and more .
A stronger-than-expected report tends to boost the US dollar, potentially weighing on assets like gold and Treasury bonds .
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🛡️ Trading Strategies
Forex traders often use strategies such as tracking USD pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY), setting stop-losses, and trading smaller positions due to high volatility .
Institutional investors view NFP as a key indicator for inflation trends and Fed policy guidance, influencing expectations for rate cuts or holds .
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✅ Quick Recap
Item Details
🗓️ Date & Time July 3, 2025 at 8:30 a.m. ET (20:30 PKT)
📊 Forecast Slight slowdown in job growth; unemployment ~4.3%
📌 Importance Drives USD strength, Fed policy, and global market moves
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Actionable Tips Before the Release
1. Set alerts for the 8:30 a.m. ET release.
2. Tighten risk controls—use stop-losses or smaller trades.
3. Track related data, such as ADP private payrolls or ISM employment components, which are reference points ahead of the official report .