Recently, people keep asking: 'This round BTC is already at 110,000, while altcoins are still on the floor, does that mean there will never be an altcoin season again?' As someone who has experienced 3 cycles of bull and bear markets, I can say today: the altcoin frenzy will not only return, but it will be crazier than in 2021. Understand these 3 ironclad rules, and you will be able to catch the rhythm next time!
1. The 'memory law' of retail investors is the 'inverse code' of the market
The most interesting thing in the crypto world is that retail investors are always 'summarizing lessons from the last cycle and jumping into the next trap':
After the 2017 altcoin crash, everyone vowed to 'only hold BTC', but in 2021, altcoins collectively surged 10-100 times, leaving BTC holders slapping their thighs in regret;
After the 2021 altcoin frenzy, retail investors summarized, 'Next time we need to go all-in on altcoins', but this round BTC rose 3 times while altcoins dropped 80%, leaving those who hoarded altcoins crying in the bathroom;
So what now? The entire network is shouting 'altcoins are dead, BTC is king'—this is precisely the signal! When retail investors collectively forget the 'pain of altcoins' and exchange their chips for BTC, funds will quietly flow back to the forgotten altcoin pool; this is human nature, and it's an ironclad rule.
2. The capitalist's 'control game' always needs 'cheap chips'
Remember: there are no philanthropists in the crypto world, only traders who calculate better than anyone else.
In the past two years, the harder altcoins have fallen, the cheaper the chips collected by the project parties and capital. Now many altcoins have a market cap of only 5 million dollars, and the project parties hold 70% of the chips—what does that mean? As long as they invest 1 million dollars to pump the price, they can leverage a 10-fold increase, attracting retail investors to take over and easily recoup their principal + profits.
In 2021, SHIB and DOGE played this game: first, let retail investors cut losses in the bear market, then in the bull market, use a small amount of capital to pump the price, and when the 'chives' chase the price, they sell off. This round of altcoins has fallen even harder, with chips being more concentrated, so the next pump will only be more intense.
3. A real bull market has always been a 'national celebration'
The current market is essentially 'BTC dancing alone', retail investors are either missing out or stuck in altcoins cursing—this is not how a bull market should look!
Look at 2017 and 2021: the neighborhood aunties were discussing which coins to buy, colleagues talked about which altcoins doubled over lunch, and even the market vendors knew 'buying coins can make money'. Back then, new retail investors surged in like a tide, bringing in incremental funds to push up all coins.
Now there are only 400 million crypto users, less than 5% of the global population—there's still plenty of room for growth! When the next wave of new retail investors enters, they won't care about 'BTC stability', they will only chase the most explosive altcoins, and that will be the fuel for the frenzy.
In the end, a heartfelt remark
The altcoin season will definitely come, possibly in the second half of this year, or in the next cycle, but it will absolutely not be absent.
What needs to be done now is not to get caught up in 'when it will come', but to pre-select those 'deeply discounted, concentrated chips, with actual implementation' altcoins (like quality small-cap coins in the Solana ecosystem) and patiently wait for the wind to come.
Remember: BTC sets the tone, altcoins create wealth; this has been the rule in the crypto world for 10 years.
