Last night at 21:37, Trump's statement 'data far exceeds expectations' instantly reversed market expectations — the actual US June unemployment rate is 4.1% (expected 4.3%), non-farm employment exceeded expectations, and the number of unemployment claims plummeted, with threefold good news that should have ignited risk assets, but ETH performed a 'first dropping 30 points then violently rising' extreme deep V. This wave of main force's carefully designed 'smoke bomb' is the key to the future market!

News aspect: policy logic has greatly reversed

Data essence is bullish:

The unemployment rate continues to decline (previous value 4.2% → 4.1%), and non-farm employment additions exceed expectations (previous value 139,000 vs expected 110,000), showing that the resilience of the US economy far exceeds expectations.

Core influence: Economic overheating = delayed interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve! This was originally major bad news, but Trump urgently guided the market to interpret it as 'economic health', successfully turning bad news into a 'catalyst for US stocks to rise'.

Main force's operation traces:

After the news was released, ETH first dropped 30 points, creating the illusion of 'good news exhausted' to force retail investors to cut losses, and then violently pulled back. On-chain data shows that during the drastic drop, large short positions were densely closed, which is obviously an institution's self-directed wash.

Technical aspect: 5-minute chart hides dangers

Key market signal (combined with image data):

2580-2583 is the life and death zone for bulls and bears:
The orders in the chart are densely piled in the 2582.94-2583.13 range, especially at 2583.04 where there are continuous zero transaction large orders (main force's false hanging orders to induce shorts), this area has become a short-term iron bottom.

Deep V reversal structure:
The 30-minute level long lower shadow pierces the BOLL lower rail, and the MACD underwater golden cross expands, forming a typical bullish counterattack pattern. If the daily line stabilizes at 2590, it will trigger a short squeeze.

Future market strategy: closely monitor the two major turning points

Bulls' defense line:

2580 (yesterday's wash low + dense order area): breaking this level will turn the trend bearish.

2550 (weekly support): strong institution protection area.

Breakout signal:

Hourly chart stabilizing at 2600: confirms the bulls' control, targeting directly at 2650 (the June high point's chip gap).

A breakout above 2630 will trigger FOMO chasing, starting a main upward wave.

Iron Eagle conclusion:

The main force has revealed its ambition by washing the盘 with good news — the stronger the economic data, the more pronounced the positive correlation between the crypto market and the US stock market. ETH is temporarily constrained by the delayed expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, but the technical deep V reversal + strong support at 2580 seals off the downside space. It is recommended to gradually layout on dips, increase positions upon breaking 2600, and strictly keep stop losses at 2550. The aftermath of non-farm payrolls still looms tonight, be wary of the main force's second wash, but the overall direction is clear: after the smoke clears, the bulls will surely show their swords!

#非农就业数据来袭
In a chaotic market, hold tight to the thigh! Pay attention to the Iron Eagle, the Iron Eagle is that golden thigh! Only hug the legs of ambitious madmen!
$ETH