2025.7.4 10:00 AM BTC/ETH market analysis
The surge and plunge did not come this night, it was just a very narrow range of fluctuations. The main force was not in a hurry to show the direction, and there was no room for operation, especially BTC and ETH, so the focus has been talking for the past two days. If BTC/ETH does not give a chance, the focus can be moved to the old mainstreams such as SOL/DOGE/LTC. Last night's HUMA temporarily followed BTC's consolidation. Although today is Friday, North America, the largest liquidity provider, is celebrating Independence Day, so it entered the weekend in advance. It is equivalent to the second peak touch in the early morning last night. The strength was not strong, which gave the bears confidence. At this moment, the next three or four days have entered the oscillation time that can be done by both long and short positions, and it may even fluctuate to the bottom. The probability of setting a new high is not high, so pay attention, the rhythm changes very quickly, and you must be prepared to return to zero at any time. Every step of the trading plan must be based on something!
BTC attention
Support 104757/103055/100300
Pressure is tentatively set at 110500/112000
At this moment, BTC is short-term, either tonight or Saturday and Sunday. If the upward momentum is still insufficient, then the probability of a retracement based on the 109500 line will gradually increase. This is a blessing for the trapped shorts, so focus on the 109500-110500 range. If a large-volume decline signal is formed in this range, the closer to the upper track 110500, the better, and you can try to short with a light position!
ETH attention
Support 2403/2343/2285
Pressure is tentatively set at 2627-2665/2719
The only condition for breaking through the upper track at present is the demand of the main force to violently harvest. If the main force believes that the chips taken over after breaking through are not driven by enough profits, then it will not violently rush up. The big cake is here. If the big cake does not open a new high independent market, the second cake can only fake a shot to take liquidity, and it is even more impossible to last. So if there is an injection in the next few days to Monday, you can also try to short with a light position!
In terms of operation: the bottom position of 105500 and 2409 can continue to reduce by 10%, leaving only 10% of the bottom position. Last night's HUMA, those who have already entered the market with control positions can wait and see whether they can recover their capital or make a small profit in the next few days. When the big cake fluctuates to the lower track, look for opportunities to play!
Pay attention to the performance of key points, set the upper and lower support and resistance levels first, and then go long and short according to the signals when they are near these positions! Do not operate arbitrarily at the middle price!