8:30 PM Non-farm Payroll, both the big and beautiful bill are coming...
Previous value 13.9 Forecast value 11 Published value XX
The published value of the small non-farm is -3.3, a negative number, how rare is this data? Has it happened before in non-farm? Yes, in my recollection it has happened no more than three times. If this non-farm published value is negative, then just close your eyes and buy.
From the current data, the likelihood of a positive outlook is still relatively high, unless the data exceeds 15, which would be negative; less than 11 would be positive.
The big and beautiful bill currently has a slight advantage with a vote of 212 to 211, but it still depends on the final published results and market reaction. Expect a rollercoaster-like washout tonight. $BTC