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NFP Expected tomorrow around 130k.
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UK markets rebounded after PM Starmer confirmed Rachel Reeves will stay Chancellor long-term. • 10-year gilt yields fell 6 bps to 4.55%. • 30-year gilt yields dropped 7 bps to 5.35%.
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US Macro Data: • Nonfarm Payrolls (June): 147K (forecast: 100K / previous: 139K) • Unemployment Rate (June): 4.1% (forecast: 4.2% / previous: 4.2%) • Initial Jobless Claims: 233K (forecast: 240K / previous: 236K)
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The 10Y Note Yield surges to 4.36% after the June jobs report crushes expectations. While the unemployment rate was expected to rise to 4.3%, it FELL to 4.1%. The bond market thinks Powell has even more of a reason to not cut rates here.
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