《Core Rules of Low-Risk Contract Trading》
1. Three Major Cognitive Disruptions
1. The Truth About Leverage: Risk = Leverage × Position
• 100x Leverage + 1% Position = 1% Risk in Spot Trading
• Example: 20x Leverage + 2% Position, no liquidation for three years
2. The Essence of Stop Loss: Single Loss ≤ 2% of Capital
• During the 312 Crash, 78% of liquidated traders lost over 5% without stopping losses
3. Rolling Position Strategy:
Initial Position 10% → Profit 10% Add Position 10%
Example: 50,000 Capital, 10x Leverage, BTC 75,000 → 82,500
Position only increases by 10%, safety margin increases by 30%
2. Ultra-Simple Risk Control Formula
1. Dynamic Position:
Maximum Position = (Capital × 2%) / (Stop Loss Margin × Leverage)
Example: 50,000 / 2% Stop Loss / 10x Leverage = 5,000 Yuan
2. Three-Stage Take Profit:
① 20% Close 1/3 ② 50% Close 1/3 ③ Remaining Position Exit if it Breaks 5-Day Line
3. Deadly Trap Data
• Holding a Position for 4 Hours → 92% Liquidation Rate
• Monthly Average 500 Trades → 24% Capital Loss
• Not Taking Profit → 83% Profit Reversal
4. Ultimate Trading Formula
Profit Expectation = (Win Rate × Average Gain) - (Loss Rate × Average Loss)
Execution Standards:
• Single Loss ≤ 2%
• Annual Trades ≤ 20
• Win-Loss Ratio ≥ 3:1
• 70% of the Time in Cash Position
