#CryptoMarket is back

📅 Post-Halving Boom: July & August Pattern

Bitcoin has halved four times: 2012, 2016, 2020, and 2024. The year after each halving (2013, 2017, 2021, 2025) has historically delivered massive upside — especially mid-year.

✅ July + August Performance in Post-Halving Years

Year July Return August Return Total 2-Month Return

2013 +9.60% +30.42% +40.02%

2017 +17.92% +65.32% +83.24%

2021 +18.19% +13.80% +31.99%

2025 -1.25% (so far) TBD In progress ✅

📊 Average 2-month gain (2013–2021):

➤ +51.75% in July–August

🚀 Why Does This Happen?

1. Post-Halving Supply Shock: Each halving cuts miner rewards in half. Over time, this reduces available new supply.

2. Delayed Demand Surge: The market usually reacts months after halving as institutions and retail return.

3. Q3 Seasonality: Mid-year often marks accumulation before euphoric Q4 runs.

4. ETF & Institutional Momentum (2025-specific): U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs (approved in early 2024) are pulling billions into BTC — a new catalyst not present in past cycles.

🧠 Zooming Out: Post-Halving Year Annual Gains

Year Annual Return

2013 +5500%

2017 +1300%

2021 +59%

2025 TBD — in progress (currently up YTD)

📌 Even 2021, which faced macro headwinds, had a major July–Oct rally (+108% from July to Nov).

⚠️ What to Watch Now (2025)

Technical Signals:

• BTC retesting key support zones

• Higher lows forming since April correction

• Possible breakout from sideways consolidation

Fundamental Catalysts:

• ETH Spot ETFs launching in July ✅

• Bitcoin Halving lag effect kicking in

• Global liquidity rising (Fed pivot bets in H2)

✅ Summary:

• Every post-halving year since 2013 has had green July & August months.

• Average returns: +51.75% in just 60 days.

• 2025 is on the same path — trend still forming, but catalysts are stronger than ever.

• Market narrative: “The Crypto Bull is Back.”

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