#美股代币化 2025/7/2 Wednesday

The daily line closed in the red again yesterday, continuing the downward trend following two bullish days sandwiching one bearish day. The short-term outlook remains bearish. Observing the Bollinger Bands on the daily chart, the bands are in a contracted state, with the Bitcoin price breaking below the middle band and currently hovering below it. After a significant decline, a rebound for correction is expected, but the overall trend remains bearish, so the main strategy should be to short at the high points during rebounds.

On the 4-hour level, the Bollinger Bands are opening downward, with the K-line showing three bearish candles followed by one bullish candle, and the price has returned to operate above the lower band. Meanwhile, the RSI indicator shows a bottom divergence signal in the oversold area, suggesting a short-term demand for a rebound. The upper resistance can be observed at the Bollinger Bands' middle band and the MA20 moving average around 107000. In the 2-hour chart, after a dip near 105000 in the morning, a bullish candle with a lower shadow was formed, indicating an initial signal of stop-loss and stabilization. Additionally, from the 4-hour MACD indicator, after the DIFF line and DEA line crossed below the zero axis, the green bars continued to expand, indicating strong bearish momentum. If the subsequent green bars begin to shorten, and the DIFF line shows signs of turning, it could indicate that the price is about to rebound. Conversely, if the green bars continue to lengthen, the price is likely to continue its downward trend.

In summary, intra-day operations can first capture profits from rebounds, but for the overall trend, it is still recommended to primarily short at high points during rebounds.

Short Bitcoin in the 108800-108500 range, targeting around 107500-106500!

For bullish strategies, consider going long in the 104500-104800 range, targeting around 105800-106800!