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Boomerang News Trading Indicator

Overview

The Boomerang Trading Indicator is designed to identify potential reversal opportunities following major economic news releases. This indicator analyzes the initial market reaction to news events and provides visual cues for potential counter-trend trading opportunities based on Fibonacci retracement levels.

How It Works

News Event Detection

- Automatically detects major news release times (NFP, CPI, FOMC, etc.)

- Analyzes the first significant price movement following news releases

- Requires minimum candle size threshold to filter out weak reactions

First Move Analysis

The indicator employs multiple analytical methods to determine the initial market direction:

**Simple Analysis (High Confidence):**

- When the news candle has ≥70% body-to-total ratio, uses straightforward bullish/bearish classification

**Advanced Analysis (Complex Cases):**

- Volume-weighted direction analysis

- Momentum and wick pattern analysis

- Market structure and gap analysis

- Weighted voting system combining all methods

Entry Signal Generation

Based on the "boomerang" concept where markets often reverse after initial news reactions:

**For Bullish First Moves (Price Up Initially):**

- Generates SHORT entry signals when price retraces to 1.25-1.5 Fibonacci levels

- Visual: Red triangles above price bars

**For Bearish First Moves (Price Down Initially):**

- Generates LONG entry signals when price retraces to -0.25 to -0.5 Fibonacci levels

- Visual: Green triangles below price bars

Key Features

Visual Elements

- **Fibonacci Levels**: Displays key retracement levels based on the initial reaction range

- **Entry Zones**: Clear visual marking of optimal entry areas

- **Direction Arrows**: Shows the initial market reaction direction

- **Target Levels**: Displays profit target zones at 50% and 100% retracement levels

Information Panel

Real-time display showing:

- Current setup status

- First move direction and body percentage

- Recommended trade direction

- Key price levels (reaction high/low)

- Profit targets with historical success rates

Alert System

- Pre-news warnings (customizable timing)

- News event notifications

- Setup activation alerts

- Entry signal notifications

Success Tracking

- Visual "BOOM!" animations when targets are hit

- Target 1 (50% level): ~95% historical success rate

- Target 2 (Main target): ~80% historical success rate

Configuration Options

Time Settings

- News release hour and minute (customizable for different events)

- Pre-news alert timing

- Setup duration (default 60 bars after news)

Fibonacci Levels

- Adjustable retracement percentages

- Customizable target levels

- Mid-level importance weighting

Risk Management

- Minimum reaction candle size filter

- Maximum risk point setting

- Visual risk/reward display

Display Options

- Toggle Fibonacci level visibility

- Toggle target level display

- Toggle animation effects

- Customizable alert preferences

Applicable News Events

This indicator is designed for high-impact economic releases:

- Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) - First Friday, 8:30 AM ET

- Consumer Price Index (CPI) - Monthly, 8:30 AM ET

- Producer Price Index (PPI) - Monthly, 8:30 AM ET

- Gross Domestic Product (GDP) - Quarterly, 8:30 AM ET

- FOMC Interest Rate Decisions - 8 times yearly, 2:00 PM ET

Trading Strategy Framework

Core Principle

Markets often overreact to news initially, then reverse toward more rational price levels. This "boomerang effect" creates short-term trading opportunities.

Entry Strategy

1. Wait for significant initial reaction (>10 points minimum)

2. Identify the initial direction using multi-factor analysis

3. Trade opposite to the initial reaction when price reaches sweet spot zones

4. Use Fibonacci retracement levels as entry triggers

Risk Management

- Always use appropriate position sizing

- Set stop losses beyond recent swing levels

- Consider market volatility and news importance

- Monitor for setup invalidation signals

Important Notes

Educational Purpose

This indicator is for educational and analytical purposes. Users should:

- Thoroughly test strategies in demo environments

- Understand the risks involved in news trading

- Consider market conditions and volatility

- Use proper risk management techniques

Market Considerations

- High volatility during news events increases both opportunity and risk

- Spreads may widen significantly during news releases

- Different brokers may have varying execution conditions

- Economic calendar timing may vary between sources

Limitations

- Past performance does not guarantee future results

- Market conditions can change, affecting strategy effectiveness

- News events may have unexpected outcomes affecting normal patterns

- Technical analysis should be combined with fundamental analysis

Version Information

- Compatible with TradingView Pine Script v5

- Designed for 1-minute timeframe optimal performance

- Works on major forex pairs, indices, and commodities

- Regular updates based on market condition changes

**Disclaimer:** This indicator is provided for educational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should conduct their own research and consider their financial situation before making trading decisions.