(The dollar hegemony encounters a "digital nuclear explosion": a disruptive blow to traditional finance is unfolding)


"When Washington's regulatory bombshell detonates in the cryptocurrency world, we suddenly realize: constitutionally protected private property rights are being redefined by blockchain technology like 3D printing!"

(1) Interpretation of the essence of the event
The so-called "Crypto Constitution Dissection Bill" is essentially the U.S. Treasury's attempt to connect the new water source of digital assets with the old pipes of traditional finance. The latest proposal requires that transactions from "non-custodial wallets" fall under IRS monitoring, which is as absurd as requiring every cash-paying citizen to provide shopping receipts.

Typical case:
When Uniswap received the SEC Wells notice in 2023, its token price plummeted 40% within 24 hours, but then surged 210% in the following three months. This perfectly illustrates the classic trilogy of "regulatory panic - value discovery - market adaptation."

(2) My exclusive analytical perspective

Regulatory paradox: The U.S. government wants to maintain dollar hegemony while fearing that stablecoins will undermine the SWIFT system. This schizophrenia directly leads to repeated policy changes, just like last year's Ripple case where the judge clearly stated that "XRP is not a security," yet the SEC continued to sue other public chains.

Technological gap: Traditional regulatory agencies fundamentally cannot understand the smart contract logic of DeFi. They are still trying to regulate DEXs with automatic market-making and flash loan features using the framework of the 1933 Securities Act, just like managing self-driving cars with horse-drawn carriage regulations.

Market immunity: According to Chainalysis data, in Q1 2024, the proportion of compliant products in institutional crypto investments actually decreased by 12%, proving that smart money is using technology to evade inefficient regulation.

Practical simulation
If the bill passes, the following may occur:

Short-term bearish: CEX platform tokens (like BNB) could correct by 20-30%.

Hidden opportunities: Privacy coins (like XMR) and decentralized derivatives protocols (such as dYdX) will yield excessive returns.

Ultimate winner: Bitcoin, with its censorship-resistant properties, proves that central banks are continuously increasing their holdings through on-chain data.


"While the Federal Reserve is still using interest rate hikes, a weapon from the last century, to combat inflation, little do they know that the Bitcoin halving countdown has entered its final 300 days.


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