In the past 24 hours, the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies has increased by 37 billion dollars, hovering below the resistance level of 3.31 trillion dollars. This level has been tested multiple times before, but for the market, breaking through this level remains key to ensuring further rises.
Currently, as there are no significant macroeconomic negative signals, investor uncertainty seems unlikely to emerge. With the market remaining stable, Total is expected to continue rising, gaining support at 3.31 trillion dollars. If successful, the cryptocurrency market could head to the next target, likely reaching 3.43 trillion dollars in the near future.
Bitcoin (BTC)
Bitcoin has completed a structural correction on the 1-hour timeframe, and there are clear signs of capital absorption in the sideways consolidation area. It then quickly surged, forming the first effective breakout. After confirming support on the pullback, it attacked again, with the overall trend being strong. If this wave can successfully break through the 108900 level, it is highly likely to challenge the previous high position, with the short-term trend still upward. Resistance at 108900, support at 106300.
Ethereum (ETH)
Ethereum is currently at 2483 dollars, up 2.6% in 24 hours. The current weekly candlestick is a long solid bullish candle, with the trading volume being three-quarters of last week, which is a normal trading volume. The bullish candle's body exceeds half of last week's bearish candle, indicating strong upward momentum.
The price is still running below the MA30 line, which is also in a downward trend. The MACD shows an increase in upward momentum near the zero axis. Just look at Bitcoin to see how it moves. It continues to challenge 2730-2900.
The funds accumulated in BTC have not moved, which is key to the continuity of this market. Additionally, the market volatility is quite large; there have been many significant spikes in BTC and ETH. If you don’t keep an eye on the market, you will likely be stopped out.
ETH is still the same ETH. Before every major market movement, it first takes a big dip, wiping out all stop-loss orders. Where it goes from here is uncertain, so keep an eye on the capital outflow situation.
SOL
There is still no breakthrough of the maximum cycle's downward trendline pressure and trajectory, and the overall trend is clearly under pressure. This is the trendline resistance, as well as the Fibonacci pressure, and there is also a bearish Gartley pattern here. Short position around 150, stop loss: 155, take profit: 146, 143, 140 vicinity.
Market Structure Change: From 'Shanzhai Carnival' to 'Leading Companies Reigning'
Still waiting painfully for the altcoin bull market? Holding on to those unknown small coins, hoping they will suddenly surge? It's time to face reality! The cryptocurrency market in 2025 has undergone fundamental changes—previously it was 'leaders lead the way, altcoins follow', now it has evolved into a new pattern of 'the strong get stronger, the weak are eliminated.'
Institutional funds are like a group of behemoths; they only see Bitcoin as the 'vast prairie.' Those once-popular altcoins are now just weeds by the roadside, hardly catching the attention of mainstream capital. Look at those approved ETF products; institutions are allocating to Bitcoin, not to your Shib, Dogecoin, or Pepe meme coins.
Allocating Bitcoin is a key step to seeking stability and victory.
In investments, blind speculation is never a long-term strategy. Rather than chasing highs and cutting losses, it’s better to stabilize the fundamentals first. If you have 100,000 yuan, consider initially allocating a portion to Bitcoin—this is not just an asset allocation, but more like adding a 'bull market insurance' to your investment portfolio. Data shows that Bitcoin's market cap share has reached 65%, and market consensus is gradually forming. It is recommended to allocate 60% of the position to BTC, while the remaining portion can be used to select quality projects based on risk tolerance.
Investment is not a one-time transaction, but a long-term game.
If you plan to invest 100,000 yuan all at once, a 10% drop in price the next day will likely cause your mindset to collapse. In contrast, a more reasonable approach is to invest in batches. Split the funds into 10 parts, investing 10,000 yuan each month, which not only helps to average the purchase cost but also effectively reduces the risk of chasing highs.
Some people worry: 'Will I miss the lowest point?'—but you must admit that the ones who can truly buy the dip and sell the peak basically only exist in legends. For ordinary investors, the optimal strategy is not to pursue the perfect entry point, but to build an investment rhythm that can withstand market fluctuations.
Controlling positions and resisting emotional fluctuations are key to navigating bull and bear markets. Dollar-cost averaging is not a compromise, but one of the most effective ways to combat FOMO and FUD.