Current situation (June 30, 2025):
- Price: ~5.50–5.80 USD (based on current data).
- Context: NEO is the token of the Neo blockchain, known as 'Chinese Ethereum', launched in 2014 as Antshares. The platform supports smart contracts, dApps, and asset tokenization using Delegated Byzantine Fault Tolerance (dBFT). Market capitalization: ~400–450 million USD (ranking ~100–120). Trading volume: ~15–30 million USD/24h. Circulating supply: ~70.5 million NEO, maximum: 100 million. Neo 3.0 (2021) improved scalability and security. TVL: ~50–100 million USD.
Technical forecast for 2026 (based on analytics):
- Prices:
- Optimistic: 9.00–14.95 USD (growth of 60–160%) in a bull market and success of Neo 3.0.
- Neutral: 6.17–9.00 USD (growth of 10–60%).
- Pessimistic: 3.50–5.00 USD during corrections or regulatory restrictions.
- Levels:
- Support: 5.00–5.50 USD, 3.50–4.00 USD.
- Resistance: 7.00–8.00 USD, 9.00–12.00 USD.
- Trend: Mixed. Daily chart bullish (50 MA above 200 MA, RSI ~50–60 neutral), but 4-hour bearish (50/200 MA down). Breakout at 7.00 USD may signal growth, consolidation below 5.50 USD — decline.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- Neo 3.0: improved scalability (thousands of TPS), reduced fees (GAS).
- Partnerships: MemeCore_ORG (Proof of Meme), Chainlink, Binance.
- Ecosystem: EcoBoost (grants for dApps), support for C#, Java, Python for developers.
- Asia: growing popularity in China, integration with digital yuan (CBDC).
- BTC halving (2024): historically supports altcoins.
- Risks:
- Regulation: SEC may classify NEO as a security.
- Centralization: criticism for dBFT and ties to China.
- Competition: Ethereum, Solana, Cardano.
- Negative on X: @ricklock99 forecasts a decline and possible delisting, the network is 'dying'.
- Unlocks GAS: gradual increase in supply (~100 million over 22 years).
- Volatility: drop of 97% from ATH (196.85 USD, 2018).
Recommendation:
- Investors: Buy on corrections to 5.00–5.50 USD, stop below 3.50 USD. Target: 9.00–12.00 USD. Staking (APR ~3–5%) for income.
- Traders: Buy on breakout at 7.00 USD, target 9.00–12.00 USD. Sell below 5.00 USD, target 3.50–4.00 USD.
- Risk: 1–2% of deposit due to volatility and regulatory risks.
Risks: Regulation, centralization, competition, decline in activity, fall of BTC/ETH.