š„šBitcoinās Comeback Story: 37% Average Surge 60 Days After Major Geopolitical Shocks.
š Binance Research Insight
⢠Finding: Bitcoin (BTC) has historically rebounded after major geopolitical events.
⢠Average Return: +37%
⢠Time Frame: Within 60 days after the event
⢠Data Since: 2020
š” What It Suggests:
⢠Market uncertainty during geopolitical events often causes short-term volatility.
⢠Once initial fear subsides, BTC tends to recover stronglyāpossibly due to its perception as a hedge or decentralized asset.
ā ļø Caveat:
⢠Past performance ā future results.
⢠Every geopolitical event is different in nature and market reaction.
Hereās a super-concise snapshot of that 37% finding:
⢠Sample: ~10 major geopolitical āshockā events since 2020 (e.g. pandemic lockdowns, regional conflicts).
⢠Measure: BTC price return over the 60 days immediately after each event.
⢠Result:
⢠Mean return: +37%
⢠Median return: +27%
⢠Positive in 8 out of 10 events
⢠Typical rebound pace: back to pre-event highs in ~3 weeks on average
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