🧭 Bitcoin Price Analysis – June 2025

1. Market Situation

Bitcoin is fluctuating around **107,000–108,000 USD**, close to the previous peak of \~110,000 USD. The market shows signs of accumulation after the increase from the beginning of the year.

Support**: 103,000–105,000 USD

Resistance**: 108,000–112,000 USD

Technical indicators are neutral, with prices above short-term moving averages. The current trend is not clear.

2. Influencing Factors

**Institutional Cash Flow**: Bitcoin ETFs continue to attract significant capital from institutional investors, serving as a key support factor for the price.

**Macroeconomics**: Decreasing inflation and expectations of interest rate cuts help boost demand for risk assets like Bitcoin.

**Halving**: The reduction in mining rewards from 2024 decreases new supply, creating a scarcity effect.

**Market Confidence**: Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a strategic asset, especially with the participation of financial institutions and some indirect recognition policies.

3. Price Scenario

If it surpasses 112,000 USD, the price could head towards 120,000–150,000 USD in the coming months.

If it consolidates, Bitcoin will fluctuate around 105,000–115,000 USD, reflecting a wait-and-see sentiment.

In a negative scenario, if it loses the 103,000 USD mark, the price could retreat to the 90,000–97,000 USD range before recovering.

4. Potential Risks

Negative Macroeconomics**: A weakening global economy or rising interest rates.

Weak Sentiment**: A sell-off may occur when prices are high and there is no further upward momentum.

Policy Risks**: Legal changes could affect capital flows into crypto.