#USCorePCEMay key summary on the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (Core PCE) of the U.S. for May 2025:
📊 Key data (May 2025):
Core PCE year-on-year (YoY): 📉 +2.6%
↓ Below 2.8% in April and 3.0% in March.
Core PCE month-on-month (MoM): ➡️ +0.1%
In line with expectations and lower than the 0.3% from the previous month.
🔍 Interpretation:
Inflation slowdown: The data indicates a clear moderation in underlying inflation.
Impact on the Fed: Strengthens expectations for rate cuts in September or October if this trend continues.
Financial markets: Positive reaction in stocks and bonds following the announcement, with the dollar easing slightly.
🧠 What is Core PCE?
It is the inflation indicator preferred by the Federal Reserve.
Excludes food and energy, which are more volatile.
Fed's inflation target: 2.0% annual.