PEPE Price Surge Warning! FOMO Sentiment Heats Up, Seize the Opportunity for Short Corrections!

Current PEPE price is 0.0095273 USDT, up 3.89% in the last 24 hours, with a trading volume increase of 22.6%. However, open interest has decreased by 1.84% and funding rates are negative, indicating weak upward momentum. Shorting is recommended in the short term: Entry at 0.00955, Stop Loss at 0.00965, Target at 0.00925, Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0. Risk: Liquidity gaps or breakouts above the upper band may reverse the strategy; Position ≤ 2%.

Technical Analysis (based on 4-hour timeframe)

• Price Status: Bollinger Band Position 80.49% (near upper band 0.00961), indicating overbought risk; MA200 deviation +0.66% (current price above 0.009465), supporting upward movement; Holding cost deviation -0.86% (current price below 0.00961), creating resistance.

• Market Strength: Volume Ratio 1.23 (increased volume), but open interest decreased by 1.84% in 24 hours (price rises while open interest decreases, a divergence signal); Smart Money Long-Short Ratio dropped to 2.04 (strengthening shorts); No major news, market digests recent price surge.

• Key Support/Resistance: Support level 0.00919 (Bollinger Band lower band), Resistance level 0.00961 (holding cost); Liquidity Zone 0.0099-0.0119 (16.84% share, selling pressure area); Sell-Buy pressure ratio is bearish; Nearby sell orders valued at $75.52B (strong resistance); Liquidity gap at 0.0096-0.0099 (breakout risk).

Market Cycle Analysis

Currently in the mid-stage rebound of a bear market, trend sustainability is weak, and the decrease in open interest indicates capital outflow, watch for corrections.

Trading Strategy

• Entry Point: 0.00955 (aggressive, close to resistance level).

• Stop Loss Point: 0.00965 (above the upper band).

• Target Level: 0.00925 (support level).

• Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.0 (Short direction, calculated formula).

Risk Warning

• Market Risk: Negative funding rate (-0.000063) exacerbates volatility, contract trading volume decreased by 46.08%.

• Strategy Failure: If the price breaks 0.00965 or macro events occur, abandon the strategy.

• Operational Note: Position ≤ 2% of total capital; avoid low liquidity periods (such as Asian trading hours).

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