This is the historical stages and time cycles of bull and bear markets in the cryptocurrency space: from four stages of bear market - pre-bull market - bull market - super bull market, the growth in each time period is astonishing, and the opportunities contained within are evident!
The cyclicality of Bitcoin is very strong. Here’s a picture illustrating the concept:
As shown in the picture, the three halving cycles in history (2012, 2016, and 2020) led to huge bull markets.
Days after the first halving, a bull market begins.
Days after the second halving, a bull market begins.
Days after the third halving, a bull market begins.
Days after the fourth halving:?
After the first halving, Bitcoin rose ... times;
The second halving, increased by ... times;
The third halving, and again ... times;
Fourth:?
(Ten significant signs of a bull market coming)
1. The number of short sellers continues to increase, yet no matter how much shorting is done, the market is difficult to suppress.
2. Various low-quality coins are rising, and the upward trend even seems illogical.
3. When you ask most people if they have become rich, their answer is that they sold at the lows and are still waiting to buy at the bottom, but the price...
But it continues to rise.
4. More and more people around you are consulting you on which coins to buy, even many who have never bought coins are preparing to jump in.
Money.
5. Positive news such as halving, interest rate cuts, and raising the debt ceiling keep coming, as if there is an endless source of momentum, like bullets.
An endless stream.
6. The longer the sideways period, the higher the upward potential; even the total sideways time cannot match the height of the rise.
7. Although the market is extremely crazy, the actual number of people in the vehicle is not the majority.
8. Every day you feel like you've missed out on a billion-dollar profit opportunity.
9. In the past, a few points of daily rise would surprise people, but now a daily rise of dozens of points feels commonplace.
10. You will realize that becoming rich overnight does not seem so out of reach.
Methods for selecting hundredfold coins.
1. The circulating market cap and total market cap should be low. For public chains, the total market cap should ideally be below $50 million; for dapp protocols, it should preferably be below $5 million. A low circulating market cap is easy to understand. If the market cap is too high, there isn't much room for growth, so the lower, the better. Why must the total market cap be low? Because in the following 1-2 years, tokens will gradually be released. If the total market cap is too high, it means the project party (whales) doesn't need to pump the price and can become rich just by unloading directly. Or, even if it drops tenfold, it still has a high price and profit.
2. The track ceiling must be high. At least the valuation in a bull market should reach over $1 billion. If it's a meme coin, refer to Dogecoin; if it's a public chain, refer to ETH, SOL, MATIC; if it's a dapp or other protocols, refer to uniswap, ave, LDO, etc.
3. New narratives; do not participate in too niche tracks. It is best to solve real problems. A new narrative must be about long-term value discovery, not short-term cyclical speculation. For example, the current AIGPU computing power narrative, a safer, faster, and more decentralized public chain, spans several tracks such as the metaverse and chain games, etc.
4. A hundredfold dark horse coin must be in a place that no one cares about. Because coins that the whole network knows about are basically high open (ICP), or have normal valuations (ARB). Do you think their unit price can increase a hundredfold? At the opening, the total market value is hundreds of billions, thousands of billions. Don’t talk about increasing a hundredfold; even if it increases tenfold, it would catch up to ETH and BTC.
5. The liquidity of early hundredfold coins is generally poor, often found on-chain or in small exchanges. So many newcomers, when they see others recommending early coins, do not research their value, always complaining that they don't want to go to small exchanges, which seem too sketchy, and buying is too troublesome; they don’t even have an app. These are surface phenomena, failing to see the essence of value. When I bought magic in 2021, it was troublesome to cross chains; later, it increased tenfold in a month. When I bought ppi in February 2023, I also needed dual wallets to cross chains and tried many exchanges that didn't support it; later, gate supported Espace withdrawals. Later, BRC20 tokens also had a high barrier, needing points and OTC, very troublesome. In short, high barriers are the inevitable path for non-experts. Binance has no barriers but is hard to make money on; it’s mostly about unloading after going online. Refer to the recent trends of RDNTGNSPEPEFLOKI.
6. It's best for tokens to go online at the end of a bull market or the beginning of a bear market. When researching or buying, the online and wash trading time should be 6-12 months.
Months is best, and the circulation rate should be greater than 50%. KAS was launched in May 2022 and underwent deep washing for about 6 months, with a maximum increase of over 100 times this year. PP1 was launched in May 2022 and started to explode after undergoing deep washing for 9 months; its current circulation rate is about 60%, with a maximum increase of around 50 times this year.
7. The unit price should be low, with many zeros after the decimal. If the unit price suddenly rises to hundreds of U, thousands of U, it will scare off over 80% of retail investors. Especially in a bull market, those rushing in are all new retail investors; they only look at the unit price and don't understand market cap. Meme coins and public chain coins usually start with very low unit prices, having 3-5 zeros is normal.
8. It's best to focus on public chains or top protocols on public chains. The best way to make money in the crypto space is through public chains. In the 2021 bull market, over ten hundredfold public chain coins emerged, each with its own advantages. Many top protocols also came out, such as uniswap, ave, cakexvs, etc. Why don’t I participate in the Hong Kong hot coin ACHlinakdy? Because they are not public chains, and many of these things have a very short lifecycle; they hype once and then end. But public chains are different; they are always hot and always need to build ecosystems and market values.
9. The founder, team background, investment institutions, and financing amounts must be reliable. Ideally, the founder should be a well-known figure in the crypto space, like a core team member of Ethereum. For example, the founder of KAS is Y, and the founder of ROSE is Professor Song, etc. Having well-known institutions participate in the investment adds an endorsement. The financing amount and project valuation are also very important; good public chain projects generally have high valuations in the tens of billions.
10. Do not participate in things that violate value investment logic. What does it mean to violate value investment logic? For instance, stable AMPL, and a deflationary token on arb where the more you hold, the fewer coins you have. Whenever you encounter such things, regardless of how innovative they are, do not participate; the outcome will certainly be disastrous. AMPL has caused many influential figures to suffer losses. If you think you are a born fast runner, then forget what I said.
11. Try not to participate in old coins unless there is a very strong new narrative. For example, this round's RNDRCFX are old coins, but their narratives are very good, perfectly aligning with the main theme of this new bull market. The former spans many tracks such as AIGPUNFT chain games, ARVR, metaverse hotspots, and has a foundational setup that is hard to eliminate. The latter is a better, faster, and safer public chain, with the support of national government resources, plus Hong Kong aims to become the new core of WEB3.0, making CFX a core target for Hong Kong hotspots. Setting aside this Hong Kong hotspot, it is also a relatively good public chain with its own ecosystem and value.
12. Choose a leading track, try not to choose those behind. For Hong Kong hotspots, I choose CFX; for ecosystem coins on it, I choose the dex token PPI. The ecosystem coins on CFX are all incubated from PPI, so it’s the leading ecosystem coin. If you seriously read through the above 12 points, then you should understand that all the coins mentioned above are no longer worth looking at because they have already gone through the market; the probability of having a second wave of hundredfold market is very low, and even the probability of a tenfold market is quite low. What you need to do is to filter out new coins based on these 12 iron rules.
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