#USCorePCEMay ???? What the Data Revealed

Core PCE (food & energy stripped away) increased +0.2% MoM and +2.7% YoY—higher than April's 2.6% and expectation of 2.6% .

Headline PCE upped +0.1% MoM, and YoY inflation was **2.3%** .

Personal spending declined 0.1%, and personal income decreased 0.4%, both below forecast .

???? Market & Fed Implications

1. Stickier inflation — As Core PCE moves above goal, July rate cuts now less credible. Fed must remain resolute to September .

2. Bond & dollar reaction — Treasury yields softened, U.S. dollar fell on the data's mixed taste .

3. Equity resilience — S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit record highs, fueled by optimism over a U.S.–China trade deal.

???? Crypto & Bitcoin Outlook

Bitcoin was flat ~$107K**, strong within the $100–110K range consolidation .

Deteriorating trading volume in BTC and futures implies a stoppage of uncertainty .

Bullish spike in Core PCE usually tempers rate-cut possibilities, which could decelerate risk assets — including crypto .

???? What This Means for You

Group\tFocus

Traders\tWatch BTC at $106K–$107K. Broken breakout will retest $100K.

Investors

Evidence is in favor of Fed caution — easing in September still on the cards. Diversify but retain DCA.

Macro Strategy

Stagflation threat on the horizon: sticky inflation but poor consumer expenditure. Avoid leveraged positions and diversify risk across asset classes.

???? Key Takeaways

Stickier core inflation has altered expectations — July rate cuts now unlikely; September in the picture.

Markets shrugged, but crypto is still hanging in limbo, waiting for clear signals.

Patience + flexibility is of the essence as Fed signals change, and geopolitical or tariff news injects volatility.