Geopolitical conflicts and policy games lead to today's market trends being volatile

Currently, the market continues to decline, and the conflict between Iran and Israel is undoubtedly the main reason, with widespread concerns about further escalation of the situation. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz hangs over us like the 'Sword of Damocles.' As a crucial route for 20% of the world's oil exports, if it closes, oil prices will soar significantly, triggering an expansion of the scale of war and causing a huge impact on the global market. In addition, the subsequent direction of the Russia-Ukraine war and Trump's potential tariff policies are also market disturbance factors that cannot be ignored. The uncertainty of trade policies is interfering with the market's expectations for economic prospects. In terms of market trends, while the probability of war escalating further is high, a long-term continuation of the tariff war is not expected; however, these external factors are not the decisive forces of market trends. The key to market activation lies in capital; only with large-scale institutional entry, combined with favorable news such as interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, is it possible for the market to usher in a bull market. For investors, the current investment logic has changed. Compared to the last bull market, high-quality projects are now fundamental. The market is undergoing a reshuffle, and established projects may fall, while truly high-quality projects are expected to rise again. Therefore, investors should abandon blind following and focus on high-quality projects. Meanwhile, the current market is influenced by various uncertain factors, and news dominates price fluctuations. Investors must remain vigilant, fully recognize risks, plan investments reasonably, and avoid losses. #加密货币立场