In the cryptocurrency world for ten years, I have gone from a confused retail investor in front of the keyboard to an asset manager who has survived three cycles of bull and bear markets. I have witnessed BTC plummet from $19,875 to $3,800 in despair and experienced the madness of ETH rising from $8 to $4,891 — I am @加密流星 , a long-termist who has verified market rules with real capital.

From 'Gambler' to 'Hunter': My three-part evolution story.

In 2017, I once held a full position in ETH at the bull market peak, watching my account balance drop from six figures to zero; during the DeFi Summer in 2020, I made 72 times on UNI, but due to greed, I gave back 80% profit on SushiSwap. These painful lessons made me understand:

  • 2017-2019: Chasing hot trends based on FOMO, essentially paying a cognitive tax with my principal.

  • 2020-2022: Betting on tracks to earn trend money, but perishing due to leverage and greed.

  • From 2023 to now: Establishing a systematic methodology, navigating through cycles using the 'screening - ambushing - harvesting' model.


Now in my investment portfolio, I have both infrastructure tokens like SOL and ARB, as well as early investments in leading staking tracks like LDO — not because I got lucky with hundredfold tokens, but through a three-dimensional screening method of 'industry chain map analysis + on-chain data tracking + narrative cycle prediction', ambushing value in the primary market.

Why can I continue to profit? Thanks to these four practical systems.

❶ Project Value Assessment System

  • Innovated the 'Technical Maturity × Ecosystem Activity × Capital Heat' three-dimensional model.

  • Example: When laying out ARB in 2022, its Layer 2 ecosystem developer count increased by 47% month-over-month, with on-chain transaction volumes exceeding OP by three times, I decisively built a position at $1.20.

❷ Market Rhythm Capture System

  • Use a 'narrative thermometer' to track capital flows: when the search volume for DeFi related topics increases by over 200% weekly, it is often the starting point for sector rotation.

  • In November 2023, I accurately timed the peak of MEME coins, having observed that the Twitter hashtag #Memecoin topic volume fell by 63% in a single day.

❸ Position Dynamic Management System

  • Always keep 30% cash to respond to black swan events (I used cash to bottom-fish BNB during the LUNA collapse in 2022).

  • Adopt the '3331 Rule': 30% mainstream coins to resist downturns, 30% leading track tokens to seek profit, 30% ambush in the primary market, 10% cash for flexibility.

❹ Emotional Risk Control System

  • Created the 'Trading Journal Confession': for every losing trade, three reasons for foolishness must be recorded.

  • Set the iron rule of 'mandatory stop-loss if daily profit or loss exceeds 20%' to avoid emotional trading.

Three survival tips for newcomers

  1. Don't believe in 'get-rich-quick myths': none of the million-dollar players I know succeeded through single speculative bets; they all accumulated wealth through '10 times 50% gains + 2 times 10-fold gains' via compounding.

  2. Beware of the 'expert trap': those influencers who guarantee profits from sharing trades, 90% of them are Photoshop screenshots. True experts are studying 'how to survive', not 'how to make quick money'.

  3. Establish an 'antifragile system': my ETH holdings have been maintained since 2017, not out of faith, but understanding that 'core assets + time compounding' is the nuclear weapon for surviving through cycles.

Final thoughts

The crypto space is not a casino, but a battlefield for 'cognitive monetization'. While you are still anxious about daily 10% fluctuations, the experts have already positioned themselves for the next narrative cycle.


I never make short-term predictions about whether the market will rise or fall tomorrow; I only share survival rules on 'how to still be alive in three years'. If you are tired of the pain of chasing highs and cutting losses, feel free to follow me.@加密流星 Here, there are no get-rich-quick schemes, only practical insights to navigate through cycles.
(Investing carries a high risk; the above is only a personal experience share and does not constitute operational advice)

#币安Alpha上新 #加密市场回调 #币安钱包TGE $BTC $XRP $SOL