Bitcoin Weak Hands Are Out — But The Real Game Might Just Be Starting
Retail’s fading. Whales are circling.
BTC just tapped $107K. And while retail’s been slowly backing off, the real story is who’s buying in silence.
New on-chain data shows small holders — wallets with less than 1 BTC — are bleeding coins.
Over the past year, they’ve dumped 54,500 BTC, averaging a sell-off of 220 BTC a day.
They’re out.
But big wallets? They’re scooping it all up.
🐋 Whales aren’t guessing. They’re loading.
Wallets holding over 1,000 BTC have added a massive 507,700 BTC YoY — bringing their combined stash to 16.57M BTC.
That’s 1,460 BTC flowing in per day, while issuance is stuck at 450 post-halving.
Demand: 1,460 BTC/day
Supply: 450 BTC/day
Do the math.
What we’re seeing isn’t hype. It’s a quiet, methodical supply squeeze in the making.
Retail Isn’t Even Here Yet
Here’s the kicker:
Retail isn’t even chasing this run yet.
In past cycles, blow-off tops came after retail FOMO.
This time? They’re still exiting — not entering.
Which means this current push… probably isn’t the top.
🔍 Short-Term Holder Support Is Creeping Up
Right now, the STH realized price sits near $98,000.
That’s the floor. The base where short-term conviction is holding firm.
We’re still range-bound between $100K–$110K.
But there’s a growing sense that once this consolidation breaks, the move won’t be small.
And on-chain heat maps?
They’re still cool — meaning the market’s far from overheated.
📦 Nobody’s Selling — Everyone’s Positioning
Both retail and institutions are pulling coins off exchanges.
Less sell pressure. More conviction.
More signals pointing one way: up.
So here’s the real question — is this just a pause… or is $137K the next stop?
Because if this is the shakeout —
The breakout might be closer than anyone thinks.
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