Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. emphasized in his analysis evaluating current developments in the cryptocurrency market that the current bull cycle is based on solid fundamentals and that the market is becoming increasingly mature.

Adler Jr. stated that Bitcoin experienced only two deep corrections during the bull phase that started in November 2022: He expressed that after the declines of over 30% occurring in August 2024 and April 2025, prices quickly rebounded to reach new peaks. Other pullbacks remained limited in the 10-20% range and did not disrupt the classic 'shake-out' effect of the upward trend. Adler Jr. mentioned that currently the weekly simple moving average (SMA) has only seen a decrease of about 7% and that the current pullback is limited to about 4.7%, indicating a calm consolidation process in the $100-106 thousand range.

According to the analyst, the market is still repeating the 'deep correction - accumulation - new rise' cycle, and the pullbacks in this cycle becoming increasingly shallow stand out as an important indicator of market maturity. He stated that if no serious negative news occurs, the strong support at the $96,000 level will allow the bull trend to continue and that new all-time highs (ATH) are on the agenda.

Another important point highlighted by Adler Jr. was the decrease in Bitcoin flows in centralized exchanges (CEX). The daily average total flow volume (inflow + outflow) has decreased to 40,000 BTC, reaching its lowest level in the last 10 years. This indicates that investors prefer to withdraw their Bitcoins from exchanges and hold them long-term, suggesting a potential liquidity squeeze in the market.

The weekly net flow continues to remain negative at -4,300 BTC; meaning the amount of coins deposited into exchanges is behind the amount withdrawn. However, the 30-day average inflow/outflow rate is at similar levels to the end of 2023 and the beginning periods of the bull market. Adler Jr. noted that this data indicates strong ongoing demand for Bitcoin.

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