$BTC Bulls Steady — Prepping for Breakout or Trap? 🎯 (4H Technical Insight)
Bitcoin is currently trading at $107,712, holding above all key moving averages (MA7, MA25, MA99) on the 4H chart. After a powerful reversal from $98,115, BTC has printed a clean V-recovery and is now forming a tight consolidation range near the top — a textbook sign of potential breakout or liquidity trap.
📊 Market Snapshot – June 26, 2025
• Last Price: $107,712
• 24H High: $108,249
• 24H Low: $105,988
• Volume (24h): 154,086 BTC
• Funding Rate: Slightly positive (bullish bias)
• Sentiment: Greed building but no euphoria yet
📈 Technical Breakdown (4H)
✅ Price above MA(7), MA(25), MA(99) — strong bullish alignment
✅ Golden Cross confirmed — short MA > long MA
✅ RSI stable, hovering ~60 (room to climb)
✅ Volume cooling = low volatility = breakout loading
📉 Bearish divergence not confirmed — momentum intact
⚠️ Watch resistance at $108.2K – double top risk
🧠 Smart Money Clue:
Whales accumulated heavily below $100K. This slow grind upward with decreasing volume signals that retail is hesitant, while institutional holders are in control. Any wick below $106K might just be a shakeout.
🎯 Trade Strategy:
Scenario 1 – Bull Breakout
• Buy Zone: $107,000–$107,500
• Target 1: $108,600
• Target 2: $110,300
• Target 3: $112,800
• Stop-loss: Below $105,800
Scenario 2 – False Break & Pullback
• Short near $108,200 if rejection candle forms
• TP: $106,200
• SL: $108,600
• Risk-Reward: ~1:2 setup
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
• Resistance: $108,250, $110,000, $112,300
• Support: $105,500, $103,800, $101,500
• Psychological barrier: $110,000
• Bullish invalidation: Break below $104,000 on volume
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