Current situation (June 26, 2025):
- Price: ~0.000013–0.000014 USD (based on current data).
- Context: SHIB is a meme coin on Ethereum (ERC-20), created in August 2020 by an anonymous developer Ryoshi. Positioned as a 'Dogecoin killer,' it has evolved into an ecosystem with ShibaSwap (DEX), tokens LEASH, BONE, and Shibarium (L2 solution). Market capitalization: ~8–10 billion USD (rank ~12–15). Circulating supply: ~589 trillion tokens. TVL: ~200–300 million USD.
Technical forecast for 2026 (based on analytics):
- Prices:
- Optimistic: 0.000043–0.000143 USD (growth of 230–1000%) in a bull market, with partnerships and meme coin hype.
- Neutral: 0.000039–0.000055 USD (growth of 200–300%).
- Pessimistic: 0.000010–0.000012 USD in a correction or loss of interest.
- Levels:
- Support: 0.000012–0.000013 USD, 0.000008–0.000010 USD.
- Resistance: 0.000015–0.000018 USD, 0.000025–0.000030 USD.
- Trend: Bullish on weekly charts (50 MA above 200 MA, RSI ~50–60 neutral). The daily chart shows consolidation (MACD is weak). A breakout at 0.000018 USD may signal growth.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- Ecosystem: ShibaSwap, Shibarium (transaction growth +50% in 2024), ShibOS (Web3 platform for identification, finance, gaming).
- Community: SHIBArmy actively promotes the project, integrations with 600+ companies for P2P payments.
- Token burn: 537 million SHIB burned from June 15–16, 2025, reducing supply.
- Partnerships: Binance, Gate.io, integration with Chainlink, potential for GameFi/NFT.
- BTC Halving (2024): historically supports meme coins in 2025–2026.
- ShibDAO and Shib Alpha Layer: decentralized governance and RollApps for Web3.
- Risks:
- Regulation: The SEC may classify SHIB as a security.
- Volatility: drop of 84% from ATH (0.00008616 USD, 2021).
- Competition: Dogecoin, PEPE, new meme coins.
- Whales: large holders may manipulate the price.
- Pessimism: some analysts predict a drop to 0.000010 USD in 2026.
Recommendation:
- For investors: Buy on corrections to 0.000012–0.000013 USD, stop below 0.000008 USD. Target: 0.000025–0.000043 USD. Staking on ShibaSwap (APR ~5–10%) for income.
- For traders: Buy on a breakout at 0.000018 USD, target 0.000025–0.000030 USD. Sell below 0.000012 USD, target 0.000008–0.000010 USD.
- Risk: 1–2% of deposit due to high volatility and speculative nature.
Risks: Regulation, competition, whale manipulation, hype decline, drop in BTC/ETH.