📉 Short-Term Volatility
Bitcoin briefly dipped below $99,000 following U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran—falling about 2.9% as investors fled risk assets .
However, $BTC quickly rebounded, closing the week above $100,000, showing stability even in tense geopolitical conditions .
📈 The Ceasefire Bounce
A fragile ceasefire between Iran and Israel triggered a renewed risk-on sentiment, lifting Bitcoin ~3.9% to **$105,000+** .
Major global markets also rallied—S&P 500, Nasdaq—and oil prices dropped, further supporting crypto buying .
💡 Underlying Strength
BTC volatility has fallen below U.S. stock indexes, indicating rising maturity and less reactive price movement .
On-chain data shows whales accumulating, with exchange deposits at decade lows, signaling long-term investor confidence .
🧭 What Lies Ahead
1. Technical Levels to Watch
Support: $100K—maintains momentum.
Resistance: $107K–$108K; a break above could push BTC toward **$112K+** .
2. Geopolitical Risks
Renewed conflict could cause fresh short-term drops.
But a sustained ceasefire could continue to favor risk assets.
3. Macro Drivers
A weaker U.S. dollar has further bolstered BTC pricing as investors divest USD .
✔️ Bottom Line
Short-Term: Expect range-bound movement between $100K–$108K, with possible dips or rallies tied to geopolitical news.
If Ceasefire Holds: Bitcoin is poised for further gains, potentially testing key resistance near $112,000.
If Tensions Flare: Moderate downside could re-emerge—but with improved resilience compared to past cycles.
Keeping an eye on global headlines and BTC’s response to macro and technical signals will be crucial moving forward.