I. Survival rules for altcoins: Taking profits is the key

Iron rule: Don’t fall in love with altcoins, don’t be greedy with hotspots


  • Case warning: FIL once fell from $238 to $22, LUNA went from $119 to zero — When hotspots recede, those who didn’t exit in time got buried.

  • Key points of operation:
    ✅ Altcoins rise in cycles, taking profits of 30%-50% means gradually switching to mainstream coins
    ✅ Remember: The money you actually make is real, the numbers on paper are just bubbles

II. The key to winning or losing in a sideways market: Understand the logic of the main players

▶ High-level consolidation: Beware of 'trap for the greedy'

  • Signal: Suddenly surging after a consolidation, but volume didn’t follow

  • Strategy: Reduce your position by 50%, exit completely if it breaks below the consolidation low

▶ Low-level consolidation: Capture the 'buy point during washout'

  • Signal: Quickly rebounds after breaking previous lows, with increased volume

  • Strategy: Build your position in batches, this is the last opportunity for the main players to accumulate

III. Market environment judgment method: Strong or weak can be determined at a glance

▶ Survival tactics in a bear market: Sideways movement against the trend indicates a strong coin

  • When the market crashes, if a certain coin doesn’t fall but rises → The main player is defending the price, can be watched

  • Case: During the 312 black swan event, BTC plummeted by 50%, but USDT rose against the trend

▶ Bull market alarm: Run when the market moves sideways against the trend

  • When the market is rising, if a certain coin is stagnant or even falling → funds are withdrawing, better get out quickly

IV. Golden rule of position management: Only increase your position after making a profit, don’t average down on losses

✅ Correct posture: 'Add to your position in the direction of the trend'

  • After a 10% profit, reinvest 30% of the profits to increase your position

  • Example: If you make $1,000 on $10,000, use $300 to increase your position, your principal is always safe

❌ Wrong demonstration: 'The more you lose, the more you add'

  • Add to your position after a 10% drop, and add again after another 10% drop → In the end, you will be fully invested and stuck, unable to move

V. Core of trend trading: You have to hold to make big money

▶ After bottom confirmation, don’t be afraid of fluctuations

  • Real upward trends are 'advance two, retreat one': Rise for 2 days, drop for 1 day, but continually higher low points

  • Strategy: Use weekly charts to see trends, don’t exit during daily fluctuations

▶ Lessons from cases:

  • In 2020, when BTC rebounded from $3,800, how many people got off at $6,000 and missed the main surge to $20,000?

VI. Token selection hierarchy theory: Progressing from novice to expert

③ Flow player: Look at indicators (MACD/KDJ) → Easily deceived by the main players' chart tricks

② Flow player: Look at individual coins (only focus on price) → Missed sector linkage opportunities

① Flow player: Look at sectors (find where funds are gathering) → Example: Buy UNI during the DeFi craze, buy AXS during the NFT explosion

VII. The essence of technical analysis: The relationship between volume and price is key

▶ Must-see signals:

  • Volume increases during an uptrend → Real breakout; volume decreases during an uptrend → False breakout

  • Volume increases during a downturn → Main players are unloading; volume decreases during a downturn → It’s not falling anymore

▶ Warning:

  • Just looking at the RSI golden cross to buy, without looking at the volume → 90% chance of getting stuck

VIII. Guidelines for trend-following operations: Look for support in uptrends, look for resistance in downtrends

▶ Upward trend:

  • Support line (like the 20-day moving average) is a buying point → Example: In a BTC uptrend, every time it retraces to the 20-day line is an opportunity to add to your position

▶ Downward trend:

  • Resistance line (like previous highs) is a selling point → Example: When ETH is falling, every time it rebounds to previous highs is an exit opportunity

IX. Final advice: Three essential elements to survive in the crypto world

  • Be precise: Don’t chase obscure coins, only focus on mainstream hotspots

  • Hold steady: Keep good coins, don’t be shaken out by fluctuations

  • Act quickly: If something seems wrong, decisively cut losses without hesitation


Remember: The crypto world is not short of opportunities, but lacks those who can survive to the next bull market. Avoid greed and blindly following trends, operate according to the rules to steadily make money.
(Investment involves risks, operate with caution, the above is just experience sharing)

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