Polymarket Bettors Less Certain About Second U.S. Strike on Iran
Polymarket Bettors Less Certain About Second U.S. Strike on Iran
Polymarket bettors are cooling to the idea that the U.S will hit Iran a second time before the end of the month.
The 'yes' side of a contract asking if the U.S. will conduct another military action on Iran by June 30 is now trading at 54%, from 74% in the hours after the initial strike on Iranian nuclear sites.
There appears to be a growing market belief that deconfliction – on both sides – is on the agenda, as evidenced by another contract asking bettors about the likelihood of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz, which is currently trading at 49% down from 52%.#以色列伊朗冲突