ETH Key Data Analysis

  1. Price trend:

    • Opening at 2442.85 - Closing at 2439.10, decline of -0.15%

    • Amplitude of 0.97% in the range of 2422.77-2446.46, showing intense bulls and bears battle.

    • Long lower shadow: Pulling back from the low of 2422.77 to close at 2439.10, indicating strong support in the 2420 region.

  2. MACD Indicator:

    • DIF crosses above DEA - 12.27, forming a golden cross.

    • MACD bars at 48.02 significantly increase, indicating enhanced short-term upward momentum.


Trend prediction and key signals

Bullish signal:

  1. MACD strong golden cross: DIF and DEA cross in the negative zone with significantly enlarged MACD bars, indicating that the rebound trend may continue.

  2. Confirmation of support levels: Two tests near 2420 have not broken the current low of 2422.77, forming a short-term defense line.

  3. Volume cooperation: If the rebound is accompanied by increased trading volume, it will strengthen the credibility of the upward movement.

Potential risks:

  1. Price has not broken through previous high: Current high point 2446.46 is still below the previous cycle high, if it cannot break through the 2450-2460 resistance zone, it may retest support.

  2. DEA remains in the negative zone: Although MACD has a golden cross, DEA has not turned positive yet; trend reversal requires further confirmation.

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Future trend projection

Scenario triggering conditions target probability continues rebound to stabilize at 2450 and volume increase to 2600, oscillating and consolidating in the 2420-2450 range waiting for directional breakout, 30% effective breakdown below 2420 support to 2400 psychological level, 10%

Operational suggestions

  1. Short-term traders:

    Buy on dips: Lightly position in the 2420-2430 support zone, stop-loss below 2400.

    Breakout to chase long: If it breaks through 2450 with volume, positions can be increased targeting 2500-2600.

  2. Medium to long-term positions:

    Hold the base position, focus on the key resistance level at 2600; if under pressure, partial profit-taking can be considered.

  3. Risk control:

    Strict stop-loss: Set stop-loss for long positions below 2400, and for short positions above 2460.

    Pay attention to whether the 4-hour closing price can stabilize above 2450, as a signal for trend strengthening.

Current technical outlook is bullish, with 2420 support and MACD golden cross forming a short-term safety cushion; breaking through 2450 will open up upward space. It is recommended to mainly buy on dips, with strict risk control, focusing on volume changes during European and American trading sessions.


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