🔹 Current Snapshot
Price: ~$2.18, hovering near recent range lows.
Trading Zone: Tight consolidation between $2.08–$2.22.
🚀 Bullish / Long Setup
Support: Strong floor at $2.10 – XRP has bounced multiple times from this level.
Price Channels: A bullish ascending channel has formed above $2.04, with resistance near $2.09–$2.10.
Macro & Sentiment Catalysts:
Ceasefire détente boosted risk assets, helping XRP rebound from $1.90 to ~$2.17.
ETF and regulatory optimism improving narrative .
Technical Signals: Breakout attempts above $2.30 have formed, with indicators like Parabolic SAR and Supertrend turning bullish.
Long Entry Strategy
Enter on a clean break and hold above $2.22–$2.25 with volume.
Targets: $2.30 → $2.50
Stop Loss: Below prior support around $2.08
⚠️ Bearish / Short Setup
Downside Risk: Repeated tight trading within $2.08–$2.22 indicates pressure.
Failed Breakouts: Rejections near the 21‑day and 50‑day EMAs (~$2.30) suggest sellers struggle above key levels.
Profit Taking: June traditionally weak for XRP (~–8.5% average), with long-term holders taking profits.
Technical Indicators: Chaikin Money Flow is negative, RSI near neutral (~45), MACD flattening—signs of bearish fatigue.
Critical Support: A drop below $2.10 could trigger a decline toward $2.00–$1.90 .
Short Entry Strategy:
Enter on a break below $2.08–$2.10 with increased selling volume.
Targets: $2.00 → $1.90
Stop Loss: Above recent highs near $2.22
🧭 Final Take
Short-term: Slightly bullish, as support is holding and indicators lean toward a breakout.
However: Seasonality and macro factors warn to remain cautious — failure above $2.25 keeps downward risk alive.
➡️ Watch price action around $2.10–$2.25 closely for clear breakout or breakdown signals.
$XRP