Current situation (June 25, 2025):
- Price: ~1.20–1.30 USD (based on current data).
- Context: EIGEN is the EigenLayer token, a protocol on Ethereum introducing restaking (re-staking ETH to secure other networks). Used for governance, staking, and securing EigenDA and other services (AVS). Market capitalization: ~250–300 million USD (ranking ~200–300). TVL: ~10–15 billion USD. Launched in October 2024, price fell by ~79% from ATH (5.65 USD, December 2024).
Technical forecast for 2026 (based on analytics):
- Prices:
- Optimistic: 3.69–12.56 USD (growth of 200–900%) in a bull market and growth of DeFi/AI.
- Neutral: 1.92–7.33 USD (growth of 60–460%).
- Pessimistic: 0.20–0.50 USD under regulatory restrictions or correction.
- Levels:
- Support: 1.00–1.10 USD, 0.65–0.80 USD.
- Resistance: 1.50–2.00 USD, 3.00–3.69 USD.
- Trend: Bullish on 4-hour charts (50 MA up, RSI ~50–60 neutral), but bearish on daily (50 MA below 200 MA). Breakout at 1.50 USD may signal growth.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- Restaking: TVL increased to 15 billion USD, support for Ethereum L2 (Optimism, Arbitrum).
- Partnerships: UMA, Polymarket (oracles for predictions), Chainlink, SCRYPT/P2P.org for liquidity.
- Airdrops: Zircuit for holders >3 EIGEN, stimulate participation.
- Institutions: a16z, Binance, Coinbase support liquidity.
- BTC Halving (2024): supports altcoins in 2025–2026.
- Growth of AI/DeFi: EIGEN is used in AVS for decentralized AI.
- Risks:
- Regulation: SEC may classify EIGEN as a security.
- Volatility: drop of 71% from ATH, whales manipulate due to low capitalization.
- Criticism: X-posts (@cryptomanran, @BasedMoneyLich) note low airdrop (5% in Season 1) and VC dominance (55% of tokens).
- Unlocks: ~50 million USD in 2025 may pressure the price.
- Competition: LayerZero, SafePal in infrastructure.
Recommendation:
- For investors: Buy on correction to 1.00–1.10 USD, stop below 0.65 USD. Target: 3.00–7.00 USD. Staking (APR ~4–6%) for income.
- For traders: Buy on breakout at 1.50 USD, target 3.00–3.69 USD. Sell below 1.00 USD, target 0.65–0.80 USD.
- Risk: 1–2% of deposit due to high volatility and regulatory risks.
Risks: Regulation, whale manipulations, unlocks, drop of BTC/ETH, competition.