(The truth about losses in the crypto space: it's not due to poor skills, but incorrect underlying logic.)

🔥 Three fatal cognitive biases that 90% of retail investors have fallen into.

1. Treat the crypto market as a 'value market'; in fact, it is an 'emotional slaughterhouse.'

You think you are investing in the 'future of blockchain,' but in reality, you are playing a cyclical game of 'the dealer tells a story - retail investors take over - the reaper collects.'
▫️ What drives the market is never technical consensus, but the emotional resonance of panic and greed.
▫️ Case: When SHIB rose from 0.000001 to 0.00008, 90% of the calls were based on 'Musk's concept,' rather than the project's value.

2. Treating news as an 'investment guide' is actually 'the dealer's script.'

When the Middle East war broke out, you panicked and sold, but BTC went up instead of down?
▫️ Large funds layout 1-3 months in advance; news is merely a trigger for retail investors to cut losses.
▫️ The truth: Before the June 23rd Iranian attack incident, on-chain data showed that whales had increased their holdings by 50,000 BTC.

3. Fixating on K-lines while ignoring 'off-chain big weapons.'

You study MACD/RSI but fail to understand:
✅ Fed interest rate cut expectations (determining dollar liquidity)
✅ Nasdaq trends (spillover effects of US stock market funds)
✅ New regulations for stablecoins in Hong Kong (compliance funding entry channel)
90% of the ups and downs in the crypto space have already scripted in the Federal Reserve meeting room and on Wall Street trading desks.

⚠️ What should you do now? Iron rules for trading in June to July.

❶ Don't guess tops and bottoms; first ask, 'Who is controlling the market?'

  • Institutional holdings: Grayscale's BTC holdings increased by 23,000 coins weekly (a historical high).

  • On-chain signal: Exchange BTC balance drops below 1.6 million coins (the lowest since 2020).

❷ The correct posture during a washout period.

  • Mainstream coin strategy: Accumulate BTC in batches within the range of 94,000 - 102,000.

  • Altcoin Principle: Only choose coins with an 'institutional holding ratio > 15%' (e.g., LINK, SOL)

❸ Stay away from these three types of fatal operations.

▫️ Follow the news and chase trends (e.g., sell coins after Iran's ceasefire on June 24)
▫️ Trade coins with a 'stock trading mindset' (sticking to PE/PB ratios)
▫️ Bet fully on a single coin (even if it's BTC, don't go all in)

Final reminder

The crypto world is not a casino; it's a battlefield for 'cognitive monetization.'
The chaotic market from June to July is a golden window for smart money to wash and accumulate positions.
If you want to break free from the 'chasing highs and cutting losses' death loop, remember this:
K-lines are superficial; emotions are weapons, and the dealer's trump cards are always off-chain.


(Investment carries high risks; the above is merely a logical analysis and does not constitute operational advice)

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