๐๏ธDate- June 25, 2025
๐ Key Changes Since Last Update
๐ Price: $106,530 (+1.63%) from $105,224 โ reclaimed key EMAs
๐ฅ RSI: 61.95 (โ from 44.18) โ strong bullish momentum
โก STOCHRSI: Bullish crossover (75.45 > 44.98)
๐ Volume: 2.02K (-88% vs avg 16.85K) โ โ ๏ธ weak participation
โ Breakout Confirmed: Price above EMA(7) & EMA(25)
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๐ Key Metrics
๐ฐ Current Price: $106,530
๐ง EMAs:
EMA(7): $104,954 โ
EMA(25): $105,050 โ
EMA(99): $99,628
๐ RSI(6): 61.95 โ bullish zone
๐ฅ STOCHRSI: 75.45 (rising)
๐ Range: $104,622 โ $106,791
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๐๐ Technical Breakdown
๐ Developments
โ Bullish EMA alignment restored (Price > EMA 7 > EMA 25)
๐ช RSI jumping from 44 โ 61 shows trend strength
โ ๏ธ Volume much lower than average โ Breakout sustainability unclear
๐น STOCHRSI in overbought territory but still rising
๐งฑ Resistance at $106,791 under test โ breakout close
๐ Key Levels
๐ผ Resistance:
$106,791 (24h high)
$108,784 (technical)
$111,980 (YTD high)
๐ฝ Support:
$106,000 (psychological)
$105,050 (EMA 25)
$104,622 (24h low)
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๐ Price Prediction
๐ Next 12-24h Outlook
โ Base Case (70%): Break $106,791 โ $107,500 โ $108,000
โ ๏ธ Bear Case (30%): Reject โ pullback to $106,000
๐ 3-Day Outlook
๐ Close > $106,791 โ Target $108,784
โ Close < $105,050 โ Invalidation
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๐ผ Trade Plan
๐ฏ Intraday Ideas (Next 4-6h)
1. ๐ข Long from Support
Entry: $106,200โ$106,300
Target: $106,700 โ $107,000
Stop Loss: $106,000
Confirmation: 15m bounce off $106,250
2. ๐ Breakout Long
Entry: $106,850
Target: $107,300 โ $107,800
Stop Loss: $106,700
Volume Trigger: >2.5K on breakout
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๐ Swing Trade Setups
1. ๐ EMA Rebound Long
Entry: $105,100
Target: $106,000 โ $106,500
Stop Loss: $104,900
Signal: STOCHRSI > 50
2. ๐ Trend Continuation Long
Entry: $107,000
Target: $108,000 โ $110,000
Stop Loss: $106,500
Trigger: 4h candle close > $106,800
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๐ง Risk Management
๐ผ Position Size: Max 1.5% of capital
๐ฏ Take Profit:
50% at $107,000
50% at $108,000
๐ Max Loss: โค0.5% of total capital
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โ ๏ธ Critical Triggers
โ BULLISH SIGNALS:
+ Price > $106,791 (24h high)
+ RSI > 65
+ Volume > 3K on breakout
+ STOCHRSI > 80
โ BEARISH INVALIDATION:
- Close < $105,050 (EMA 25)
- RSI falls below 55
- STOCHRSI bearish crossover
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โ Summary
BTC/USDT has confirmed a bullish rebound with clean closes above EMA(7) & EMA(25).
๐น Watch These Levels Closely:
๐ Breakout: $106,791 โ opens move to $108,784
๐ก๏ธ Support: $105,050 โ must hold for bullish bias
๐ธ Best Trades:
1. Longs at $106,250 (stop: $106,000)
2. Breakout longs above $106,850 (stop: $106,700)
3. Aggressive entries at $105,100 (EMA 25)
๐ Avoid Shorts unless price breaks below $105,050 with high volume.
๐ Warning: Low volume (2.02K vs 16.85K avg) may cause false breakouts. STOCHRSI is overbought, so a pullback before $107,000 test is likely.
Take Trade From here ๐ $BTC
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๐ Follow for real-time BTC updates
