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🟢 The Fed maintained interest rates, continuing to observe. Powell emphasized that the Fed is 'in a good position to wait and see how the economy develops' before adjusting policy. There is no commitment to cut rates in July despite pressure from Trump.

🟢 There are no clear signs for a cut. Powell stated that inflation could rise again due to tariffs, but also acknowledged the possibility of inflation being weaker than forecasted, which could prompt the Fed to cut rates sooner.

🟢 June data will be very important. Powell expects the impact of tariffs to start showing from June, and the CPI report released on July 15 will be a crucial benchmark for assessment.

🟢 The Fed is divided internally: Among 19 FOMC members:

• 7 people forecast no rate cuts in 2025.

• 2 members support 1 cut.

• 10 people forecast at least 2 cuts this year.

🟢 Some Fed officials signaled a more dovish stance, such as Waller and Bowman (both appointed by Trump), stating that a rate cut as soon as July is possible.

🟢 Current inflation is cooling down. Powell affirmed that the U.S. economy is not yet in recession.

🟢 Tariffs remain the biggest variable. The Fed is concerned that this will cause inflation to rise again in the coming months, but it is still too early to conclude.

🟢 The Fed does not consider public debt or politics. Powell reaffirmed the independent role: 'Our job is not to lower borrowing costs for the government.' The Fed relies only on inflation and the labor market to make decisions.

🟢 Powell affirmed that the bank has the right to serve customers in the crypto industry if safety is ensured; the Fed will not interfere in customer selection.

⭐️ Conclusion: The Fed remains defensive and observant. There is no commitment to cut rates soon, but will reduce if inflation weakens. Tariffs and upcoming inflation data will be key to directing monetary policy from July onwards. The Fed has opened the door for Crypto as long as user safety is ensured. Powell remains determined not to let politics pressure the operation.