1. Ten survival rules: Slow is fast
1. Nine-day crash bottom-fishing method: If a strong coin falls for 9 days, take action.
During the period when BTC fell from $60,000 to $16,000, players who entered the market after a mainstream coin fell for 9 days achieved a 45% profit when it rebounded to $24,000. Principle: After a strong coin's short-term drop, the RSI indicator is often below 30, indicating a strong need for technical recovery. The 9th day is a crucial window for emotions to warm up.
2. Two-day consecutive rise reduction rule: If it rises for 2 consecutive days, sell 1/3 of the position.
When a certain MEME coin rose for 2 consecutive days with a total increase of 22%, investors who reduced their positions according to the rules avoided a 18% drop on the third day. Data shows: 72% of short-term pullbacks in the crypto world occur after 2 days of consecutive rise. Reducing positions can lock in profits and retain chips for subsequent trends.
3. 8% surge observation method: Do not chase high if it surges over 8% in a single day.
In 2024, a certain DeFi token surged 12% in one day, and after a 7% rise the next day, it retraced, leaving latecomers trapped with a 20% loss. Correct strategy: After a surge over 8%, observe the 4-hour K-line for a breakthrough of the previous high the next day; if not broken, wait and see. If broken, then lightly follow up (position not exceeding 10%).
4. Late entry method for major bull coins: Enter the market 3 months after the speculation recedes.
Most investors who chased high during the peak of LUNA lost everything, while players who entered the market 4 months after its popularity faded instead earned 30% during the technical recovery period. Rule: After a speculative cycle of hot coins, there needs to be a chip sedimentation period of 3-6 months; entering the market during this time can avoid traps of major players unloading their positions.
5. Six-day sideways position swapping rule: Observe for 3 days after 3 consecutive days of sideways movement.
A certain altcoin fluctuated less than 3% for 3 consecutive days. After observing for another 3 days without improvement, the investor swapped positions and avoided a subsequent 30% crash. Coins that sideways for more than 6 days, unless controlled highly by major players, are often illiquid. Swapping to coins in the top 10% of trading volume increases winning chances by 50%.
6. Next day break-even stop-loss method: If a loss is not recovered the next day, cut losses.
A player bought SOL at $80, and the next day it dropped to $75 without rebounding. According to the rules, they cut losses, and SOL continued to drop to $20. Iron rule: If the closing price the day after buying is lower than the cost price, it indicates a wrong trend judgment. Timely stop-loss can preserve over 70% of the principal for future opportunities.
7. Three-five-four-seven cycle method: Buy on the 3rd consecutive rise, sell on the 5th day.
In 2023, an investor entered the market when ETH rose for 3 consecutive days and sold on the 5th day, achieving a single-round return of 15%. Market rule: The short-term speculative cycle of funds is usually 5-7 days; a consecutive rise for 3 days is a signal for major players to build positions. The 5th day often sees profit-taking, easily forming a temporary peak (must be combined with volume shrinkage judgment).
8. Volume-price soul rule: Buy on volume increase at low prices, sell on volume increase at high prices.
When ETH consolidated at $1800, players who followed up after a volume breakout at $2000 earned 25%; investors who exited when the volume stagnated at $2800 avoided a 30% pullback. Trading volume is a barometer of market sentiment: Low volume represents major players entering, while high volume often indicates major players unloading.
9. Moving average trend rule: Only trade coins with upward turning moving averages.
3-day moving average turning point: Capture short-term opportunities of 3-5 days (e.g., altcoin rebounds);
30-day moving average turning point: Lay out mid-term waves (BTC rose 80% after the 30-day moving average turned in 2023);
120-day moving average turning point: Main uptrend signal (ETH has doubled every time it turned at the 120-day moving average).
10. Small capital survival rule: Use discipline to compensate for capital disadvantages.
An investor followed the rules with 5000U, rolling it to 50,000U in 2 years: Each trade not exceeding 15% of the position, taking profits at 20%, stopping losses at 10%, only participating in coins above the 30-day moving average. The advantage of small capital lies in flexibility; erroneous orders can be quickly adjusted, avoiding the risk of large capital's difficulty in turning around.
2. Three important lines more important than making money.
Reject full-time crypto trading: A certain practitioner quit their job to trade cryptocurrencies professionally, frequently making trades under pressure, leading to a 60% loss of capital within 3 months — trading cryptocurrencies is essentially a probability game. After leaving a stable income, emotional interference can reduce decision-making success rates by 40%.
No borrowing allowed for entry: In 2022, a certain investor borrowed 200,000 to trade cryptocurrencies, and after being liquidated, owed 350,000, ultimately selling a house to repay the debt — leverage is like a double-edged sword; 70% of liquidation cases in the crypto world stem from borrowing. Loss of principal is not terrible; debt can completely destroy the chance of recovery.
Remember the essence of the 'dumb method': These rules won't make you rich overnight, but they can help you survive in a market where 90% of people lose. Investors who operated under this strategy in 2023 had an annualized return of only 50%, but the survival rate of their assets exceeded 95%, while most blindly chasing high and selling low went to zero.
Final advice: The crypto world is not short of stories of short-term high profits but lacks people who can survive until the next bull market. Set these 10 iron rules as a memo on your phone and check against them before each trade — you don't need to be smarter than the big players; as long as you follow the discipline better than other retail investors, you can create a miracle of compound interest with the 'dumb method.' Remember: Quick money is easy to lose; slow wealth is stable.
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