0.32 breakout = 300% surge? $ARB hidden well suffered internal leak!
Core data anchors price stalemate: Continuous 8 K-lines oscillating around 0.3150-0.3167 with a narrow range (amplitude 1.52%), closing price 0.3151 reveals the standoff between bulls and bears.
Volume exhaustion: Actual trading volume 15.46M compared to forecast volume 19.11M with a gap of 18.7%, insufficient bullish momentum.
MACD vacuum: DIF(0.0101) and DEA(0.0096) difference narrowed to 0.0005, histogram 0.0011 approaching the zero axis, directional signal disappears.
KDJ dulling: K value 79.54/D value 80.49/J value 77.64 all close to the 80 overbought line, no effective turning point formed.
Key position game: Upper pressure: 0.3167 (daily high) → 0.3200 (previous high resistance zone)
Lower support: 0.3119 (daily low) → 0.3050 (July 4 gap)
Bull-bear critical point: Breakthrough 0.3200 activates chasing logic, breaking down 0.3050 triggers stop-loss wave.
Operation framework (based on probability) breakthrough strategy: Surge through 0.3170 with volume expansion and MACD histogram turning red, right side chasing target 0.332 (previous high resistance).
Breakdown strategy: Falling below 0.3100 accompanied by trading volume > 18M, immediately stop-loss to avoid risk below 0.30.
Observation no-go zone: Opening positions in the 0.312-0.316 range win rate < 35%, wear cost > potential profit. Position control hard rule contract leverage ≤ 20 times (forced liquidation price difference < 2%) spot holding ≤ total funds 10% (to prevent black swan events) stop-loss set at 0.308 (floating loss 3% threshold).
Early crypto evangelist, follow me for bull market sharing on spot coin holding strategies, rolling positions strategies, hundred-fold coin selection.