Tron Rises to Leadership with $80 Billion USDT Supply: Signs of Recovery in TRX Price
The Tron (TRX) network has surpassed $80 billion in Tether (USDT) supply, surpassing Ethereum and rising to a leading position in the stablecoin market. This development indicates that the network's influence in the global stablecoin ecosystem is steadily increasing.
According to CryptoQuant analyst Maartunn's data, the USDT supply on Tron has been steadily growing since 2020, and this growth has allowed it to surpass Ethereum for the first time. Tron's low transaction costs and fast transaction approvals played a significant role in this rise.
DEX Volumes Are Increasing, Activity Remains Vibrant Even Though TVL Is Falling
Tron's total value locked (TVL) was $7.5 billion in January, but fell to $4.3 billion by June 2025. However, there was a significant increase in trading volumes on decentralized exchanges (DEX) on the network during the same period. Trading volume, which was $4.9 billion in April, rose to $5.5 billion in May.
This increase shows that users are turning towards more flexible trading options and that on-chain activity is maintaining its vibrancy. Despite the decline in TVL, growth in DEX volumes may signal a potential recovery for TRX.
TRX Technical Outlook: Consolidation and Possible Breakout Signals
The current price of TRX is trading at $0.2729 and has recorded an increase of about 2.2% in the last 24 hours. The token is currently moving horizontally just below the 20-day simple moving average (SMA). However, it continues to remain above the 10, 30, 50, and 100-day exponential moving averages (EMA). This structure presents a positive technical outlook despite short-term consolidation.
The narrowing of the Bollinger Bands indicates low volatility in the market, while TRX's position near the middle band reflects an uncertain market mood.
Momentum Indicators: Neutral Signals and Bullish Potential
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50 and does not provide a clear directional signal in the market. However, momentum indicators and bull/bear strength indices are generating limited buying signals. The MACD indicator, on the other hand, continues its slight downward trend.
These mixed signals suggest that TRX may continue to move within a range in the near term. However, if $0.28 is clearly surpassed, a new bullish target in the range of $0.30 to $0.32 may come into play. On the other hand, if the $0.265 support is broken, the price is likely to test the lower Bollinger Band around $0.262.
Strategic Assessment: Critical Levels Should Be Closely Monitored
Tron's leadership in USDT supply indicates that the network's use cases have expanded and adoption has increased. This could create a long-term foundation for TRX. However, the drop in TVL reveals that investor interest has not yet peaked in terms of liquidity.
It is important for TRX investors to focus especially on the levels of $0.265 and $0.28. Breakouts supported by volume should be expected for confirmation of the upward movement. Although technical indicators indicate cautious optimism, stronger price movements are needed in the coming days for clearer signals regarding market direction.
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