The national debt of the United States has surpassed a historic high of $37 trillion, with 25% of federal tax revenue being used to pay interest on this debt. This astonishing figure has sparked deep concerns in the market regarding inflation rebound, fiscal stability, and the long-term value of the dollar. In this context, investors are starting to consider: Can cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin and stablecoins, become new safe-haven assets?
#### How does the debt crisis affect the crypto market?
1. Inflation concerns drive funds toward anti-inflation assets
- High levels of debt may force the Federal Reserve to maintain loose monetary policy, or even restart quantitative easing (QE), thereby exacerbating the risk of dollar depreciation.
- Bitcoin ($BTC), often regarded as “digital gold” due to its fixed supply (21 million coins), may attract more funds to hedge against inflation.
2. Dollar credit is damaged, demand for stablecoins may rise
- If market confidence in the dollar declines, investors may turn to stablecoins (such as USDT, USDC) as a short-term safe-haven tool, especially in cross-border transactions and decentralized finance (DeFi).
3. Risk assets may be under pressure in the short term, but is there a long-term benefit for crypto?
- If the debt crisis triggers an economic recession, it may lead to turmoil in the stock and bond markets, dragging down risk assets like Bitcoin in the short term.
- However, if the Federal Reserve is forced to cut interest rates or implement new stimulus policies, the influx of liquidity may ultimately drive up cryptocurrency prices.