Greed Index 78 vs Funding Rate 0.005%! The most bizarre divergence in history
The cumulative trading volume of spot Bitcoin ETFs has historically突破 $1 trillion. BlackRock + Grayscale contributed $3.73 billion in a single day, and traditional institutions have taken control of pricing power.
Core Insight #etf
Real money flowing in: Among the trillion-dollar trades, there is a net inflow of $33 billion, marking Bitcoin's transformation from "marginal asset to mainstream allocation."
Severe supply-demand imbalance: Daily demand for ETFs is 2,500 BTC vs miners’ daily supply of 900 BTC, leading to a gap of 2.7 times.
The calm before the storm: Volatility has been compressed to a historical low of 44%, highly resonating with the pattern before the 2016 halving.
Practical Strategy
Position Structure
50% Spot/ETF
30% Call Options
20% Volatility Hedge
Breakthrough Conditions
Stabilize above 68,000 for over 3 days + Spot volume exceeds 30 billion
If it breaks 60,000 and does not recover within 24 hours, immediately reduce positions.
ETF daily net outflow exceeds 500 million → Warning signal
2025 Second Half Prediction
ETF capital absorption upgrade: Over 1,500 institutions will enter in Q1 2025.
Volatility explosion: Expect daily fluctuations of ±20% in extreme market conditions.
Ecological rotation:
RWA sector takes over
AI + Blockchain explosion
As the market continues to change, we must closely monitor market signals and seize new entry opportunities. Like + comment, and let’s navigate through the bull market to grasp this major opportunity!
